NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	129		Excitement	1.8 [1306]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +12.0%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	1.1 [983]		LVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): -6.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.21	0.01	0.10	20	77%	0.17	5	-0.05	16	94%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	9	71%	0.09	1	-0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.07	8	53%	0.07	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.07	5	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	125%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.09	7	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	78%	-0.00	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	55%	-0.01	3	-0.00	6	83%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.00	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	14	39%	0.01	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.12	0.00	0.18	16	71%	-0.03	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	16	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	2.7	32.1	15.7	30.7	2.5	28.4	143.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +43.8%

HOU +7.4%

SAC -0.0%

SAC -3.0%

HOU +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	12.7	15.6	15.1	127.7	101.0	105.2
season	14.3	15.4		109.5	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.2		107.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	9.3	12.6	15.0	14.7	12.7
SAC	16.4	15.6	13.3	17.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	69	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.42	29	-3	32	11.9	14.5	-2.57	14.8	17.3	-2.52
Chandler Parsons	63	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	9	8	12.6	13.0	-0.37	15.7	15.4	0.29
Donatas Motiejunas	42	43	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.23	20	6	14	11.5	13.6	-2.17	15.1	16.0	-0.95
Dwight Howard	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	7	12	13.1	12.4	0.69	15.3	15.9	-0.55
Patrick Beverley	55	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.20	17	9	8	12.4	13.2	-0.75	15.7	15.5	0.20
Jeremy Lin	46	47	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	17	-8	13.2	12.4	0.75	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Terrence Jones	40	41	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	17	-8	14.2	11.8	2.37	15.9	15.4	0.48
Omer Asik	49	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	19	-12	12.4	13.1	-0.69	15.9	15.3	0.55
Jordan Hamilton	51	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	23	-20	12.8	12.7	0.16	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Omri Casspi	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	14.7	12.2	2.47	17.4	15.1	2.28
Isaiah Canaan	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	13.6	12.6	1.01	17.9	15.2	2.68

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.29	-10	-16	6	17.5	15.3	2.20	11.3	12.9	-1.60
Derrick Williams	49	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-28	30	14.3	16.8	-2.48	12.8	12.6	0.19
Travis Outlaw	18	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.26	-12	-14	2	18.1	15.1	2.96	9.9	13.4	-3.47
Ray McCallum	51	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-27	28	15.0	16.3	-1.27	14.4	11.2	3.16
Jason Thompson	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-20	14	18.4	15.3	3.08	13.1	12.7	0.40
Reggie Evans	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-25	24	16.3	15.0	1.23	14.0	11.6	2.32
Aaron Gray	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-13	0	13.2	16.6	-3.42	12.8	12.7	0.12
Carl Landry	24	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	-12	-2	15.4	15.7	-0.26	9.3	13.8	-4.51
DeMarcus Cousins	42	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.28	-21	-5	-16	17.2	14.5	2.71	12.0	13.3	-1.33
Rudy Gay	73	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.02	-12	-14	2	15.3	16.4	-1.16	13.1	11.8	1.28
Ben McLemore	79	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.24	-22	-4	-18	16.4	13.1	3.27	12.9	12.3	0.57
Isaiah Thomas	74	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	-4	-18	14.8	17.7	-2.84	12.7	12.9	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 110, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
SAS 118, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
BKN 112, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%