NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	82		Excitement	7.2 [369]		MVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): +21.1%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	1.2 [1033]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -14.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Lucas III	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.00	6	69%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	16	44%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.23,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	12	47%	0.06	4	-0.15	6	67%	-0.05
Reggie Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	15	65%	0.12	8	-0.26	4	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.11	0.01	19	60%	0.29	1	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.05	0.19	-0.01	9	28%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	7	36%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	55%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	16	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	13	36%	-0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	28.2	16.8	22.0	2.4	33.5	131.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -2.5%

CHI +9.5%

CHI +21.6%

DET -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	16.9	15.1	94.3	102.3	104.2
season	15.7	15.5		104.0	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.0	20.7	13.5	14.8	16.4
CHI	15.7	16.1	17.8	17.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	38	38	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-14	22	15.8	16.9	-1.11	16.6	17.2	-0.63
Joel Anthony	15	14	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-8	10	17.9	16.1	1.78	16.2	17.0	-0.83
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	63	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-11	16	16.0	17.5	-1.47	17.4	15.4	2.01
Reggie Jackson	66	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.25	7	-13	20	15.7	18.7	-3.06	17.3	15.8	1.53
Shawne Williams	29	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-7	8	16.9	16.2	0.71	18.3	16.3	2.03
Jodie Meeks	33	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	0	-6	15.5	17.0	-1.51	15.5	17.7	-2.17
Anthony Tolliver	50	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	1	-8	16.4	16.4	-0.07	16.9	16.9	0.09
John Lucas III	21	23	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	7	-20	18.7	15.7	3.06	15.8	17.3	-1.53
Andre Drummond	78	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	0	-6	16.3	17.0	-0.68	16.7	18.6	-1.89
Tayshaun Prince	42	41	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.24	-21	15	-36	17.6	15.2	2.37	17.1	16.8	0.32

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	67	68	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.34	17	-11	28	17.3	15.7	1.57	17.6	11.9	5.75
Nikola Mirotic	34	35	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.30	18	-12	30	17.4	16.6	0.83	17.3	15.7	1.59
Taj Gibson	61	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-2	10	16.6	17.6	-0.92	16.1	17.2	-1.08
Joakim Noah	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	0	6	17.0	16.8	0.23	17.1	15.4	1.66
Aaron Brooks	45	45	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	-2	10	17.6	16.2	1.41	16.7	16.1	0.57
E'Twaun Moore	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	8	-10	16.2	17.6	-1.41	16.1	16.7	-0.57
Pau Gasol	61	62	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	6	-6	16.8	17.1	-0.24	15.7	18.2	-2.48
Mike Dunleavy	49	50	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	14	-22	16.6	17.3	-0.69	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Tony Snell	22	21	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	-0.05	-15	21	-36	15.7	17.3	-1.59	11.1	18.1	-6.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.86,0.85,1	92.6%
TOR 70, SAS 73	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	92.4%
PHI 75, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.89,1,1,1	92.3%