NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	8.3 [205]		MVP	CJ Watson (IND): +21.8%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	5.9 [423]		LVP	Lance Thomas (NYK): -18.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.00	8	65%	0.26	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
George Hill	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.13,0.14	0.03	0.12	0.01	11	54%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Damjan Rudez	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.08	0.00	3	133%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	12	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.06
Solomon Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	58%	0.09	2	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	12	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	6	19%	-0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	14	72%	0.22	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.06	0.03	9	55%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	15	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.01	2	62%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.01	4	50%	-0.06	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	9	5%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	3	42%	-0.05	2	-0.14	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	33.8	15.8	30.0	2.7	38.4	149.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.3%

IND +2.5%

NYK -5.7%

IND +6.9%

NYK -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	16.4	15.1	102.2	97.7	104.2
season	16.0	16.1		102.3	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.0	16.6	15.8	13.7	16.0
NYK	15.5	15.4	16.2	18.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	67	64	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.43	9	-3	12	15.7	16.8	-1.08	16.0	17.5	-1.47
Solomon Hill	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-5	16	16.6	14.9	1.69	15.4	18.0	-2.58
David West	56	54	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	0	6	16.7	14.8	1.95	14.9	18.7	-3.78
Rodney Stuckey	52	52	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.42	-1	7	-8	16.1	15.8	0.28	17.2	15.2	1.97
George Hill	55	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	6	-6	16.7	14.8	1.97	15.2	18.2	-2.97
Damjan Rudez	28	28	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	0	6	14.7	16.5	-1.83	18.4	15.4	3.00
Luis Scola	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	6	-6	14.8	16.7	-1.95	18.7	14.9	3.78
CJ Watson	40	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	2	2	15.2	16.6	-1.36	18.3	14.9	3.40
CJ Miles	39	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	6	-6	15.9	16.0	-0.14	14.9	17.5	-2.63
Ian Mahinmi	24	24	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.11	-5	11	-16	16.1	15.9	0.14	17.5	16.0	1.47

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	56	59	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-12	18	16.4	16.4	-0.03	16.9	14.2	2.72
Cleanthony Early	40	42	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-8	10	14.5	17.9	-3.41	16.1	15.8	0.31
Travis Wear	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-6	6	18.9	16.1	2.79	16.0	16.0	0.02
Langston Galloway	48	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-8	10	15.6	17.4	-1.81	16.1	15.9	0.19
Jason Smith	32	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-9	12	16.0	16.6	-0.56	17.6	15.0	2.64
Alexey Shved	48	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-10	14	16.8	15.8	0.98	15.8	16.2	-0.44
Tim Hardaway Jr.	40	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	4	-14	15.8	16.8	-0.98	16.2	15.8	0.44
Quincy Acy	36	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	3	-12	18.0	15.2	2.78	14.1	17.3	-3.27
Shane Larkin	41	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	1	-8	17.1	15.7	1.42	15.3	16.5	-1.21
Lance Thomas	38	37	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.27	-9	3	-12	18.0	15.2	2.79	16.4	15.7	0.73
Cole Aldrich	52	50	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	6	-18	15.5	17.7	-2.21	15.2	17.0	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.46,0.16,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, SEA 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.17,0.17,0	91.7%
SAC 96, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.24,0.02,0	91.4%
SEA 95, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.53,0.29,0.15,0.17,0	91.1%