NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	8.3 [201]		MVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): +42.4%
Orlando Magic	97		Comeback	184.2 [13]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -32.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.42	0.12	0.30	0.00	16	66%	0.44	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.24	0.15	0.10	0.01	16	71%	0.31	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Joakim Noah	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.08	0.02	10	75%	0.22	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
E'Twaun Moore	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	4	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	9	44%	0.03	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25	-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	14	33%	-0.10	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.15	0.00	8	75%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	-0.00	6	83%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	17	43%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	16	55%	0.13	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.09	0.02	7	78%	0.18	1	-0.19	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	7	19%	-0.12	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.32	-0.32	-0.02	-0.30	-0.01	14	42%	-0.29	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.3	27.5	15.7	26.0	1.8	35.4	131.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +33.9%

CHI +7.8%

ORL -9.4%

CHI +15.0%

CHI +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.1	105.4	105.4	104.2
season	15.5	14.9		105.4	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.9	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	15.7	18.6	14.8	15.8
ORL	14.4	17.0	13.5	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	75	73	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.45	12	-11	23	15.0	19.1	-4.06	14.6	18.3	-3.67
Tony Snell	71	71	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-10	21	15.0	18.2	-3.20	15.6	14.5	1.07
Derrick Rose	68	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	-1	3	15.3	17.2	-1.88	15.8	14.1	1.77
Joakim Noah	73	70	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.50	-3	4	-7	15.9	15.4	0.49	15.4	15.1	0.34
Jimmy Butler	80	81	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	-3	7	15.7	16.2	-0.43	14.8	19.3	-4.46
E'Twaun Moore	29	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.29	-7	8	-15	17.1	15.2	1.87	16.6	14.8	1.81
Aaron Brooks	25	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	2	-3	17.2	15.3	1.88	14.1	15.8	-1.77
Nikola Mirotic	6	5	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	7	-13	19.3	15.5	3.79	13.6	15.4	-1.85
Taj Gibson	38	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	8	-15	17.1	14.9	2.28	16.6	14.4	2.19

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	26	25	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.02	10	-11	21	16.6	14.9	1.71	18.2	14.9	3.25
Evan Fournier	31	32	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.25	12	-13	25	17.3	14.4	2.93	16.0	15.7	0.28
Aaron Gordon	21	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	0	-1	16.1	15.1	1.03	17.3	15.4	1.99
Maurice Harkless	2	1	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	5	-11	12.5	15.4	-2.91	9.0	15.9	-6.86
Channing Frye	44	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-2	3	14.9	15.8	-0.88	15.7	15.9	-0.19
Elfrid Payton	50	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-4	7	14.0	16.9	-2.86	15.9	15.6	0.35
Willie Green	31	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	11	-23	16.3	14.9	1.47	16.7	15.3	1.40
Kyle O'Quinn	43	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	2	-5	16.2	14.6	1.57	15.9	15.7	0.28
Tobias Harris	78	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	4	-9	14.9	18.1	-3.21	15.3	18.6	-3.36
Victor Oladipo	70	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.55	1	-2	3	15.1	16.2	-1.16	15.3	17.5	-2.18
Nikola Vucevic	64	67	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.58	-5	4	-9	14.9	16.3	-1.35	15.0	17.8	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.78,0.93,0.97,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.33,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.58,0	89.8%
DAL 93, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.72,0.94,0.9,0	88.3%
MIA 103, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.43,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.72,0.85,0.58,0	87.4%