inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 103 Excitement11.0 [32] MVPDerrick Williams (MIN): +15.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves 101 Comeback9.2 [187] LVPWayne Ellington (MIN): -26.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.37,0.11-0.120.20-0.031943%0.205-0.09650%-0.05
LeBron James0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.10.090.020.022661%0.364-0.26450%0.01
Mario Chalmers0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.01590%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Chris Bosh0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.05-0.001754%0.143-0.08367%-0.00
Udonis Haslem0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00760%0.0500.001100%0.00
Norris Cole0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.03-0.041060%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
James Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Shane Battier-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.08-0.09-0.0050%-0.1700.0000%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.030.13-0.00671%0.242-0.0820%-0.03
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.080.08-0.020.100.00848%0.162-0.08560%-0.18
Anthony Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.030.01970%0.102-0.082100%0.01
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00650%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00337%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.00771%0.195-0.23367%-0.02
Wesley Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01650%0.043-0.0900%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.00633%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Love0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.13-0.13-0.01-0.13-0.001957%0.046-0.18667%0.01
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.26-0.26-0.03-0.24-0.001342%-0.231-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.92.626.615.624.01.839.1136.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +25.6%
MIN -11.1%
MIN -4.4%
MIA +36.6%
MIA +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMINNBAMIAMINNBA
this game13.314.715.6100.098.1102.8
season15.515.3105.6102.6
opponent15.115.8104.798.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.413.113.013.613.3
MIN15.414.114.714.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James79790.96-0.461.420.5514-122613.213.6-0.3914.913.81.10
Dwyane Wade83820.50-0.000.510.4711013.014.3-1.2615.212.82.41
Chris Bosh76770.320.180.140.44-46-1012.914.3-1.4315.412.72.66
Udonis Haslem59580.240.26-0.010.33-35-813.612.80.7713.416.4-2.98
James Jones570.240.26-0.030.2111014.013.20.7610.715.0-4.25
Joel Anthony48480.170.33-0.17-0.078-61413.513.10.4116.013.62.39
Shane Battier50500.140.36-0.210.29-57-1214.112.51.5113.415.9-2.45
Juwan Howard20190.140.36-0.230.1111012.613.4-0.7812.915.1-2.12
Norris Cole65640.080.42-0.34-0.096-41013.213.4-0.1814.714.60.10
Mario Chalmers3031-0.290.79-1.08-0.03-911-2013.313.30.0315.414.41.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Randolph55550.42-0.921.35-0.1018-203813.516.0-2.4313.513.10.37
Michael Beasley44450.01-0.510.520.04-1-1015.414.11.3113.712.90.80
Luke Ridnour3636-0.25-0.250.000.07-119-2016.413.72.7113.113.4-0.35
Wesley Johnson3636-0.25-0.250.000.07-119-2016.413.72.7113.113.4-0.35
Wayne Ellington6767-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.529-112013.716.4-2.7113.413.10.35
Ricky Rubio6767-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.529-112013.716.4-2.7113.413.10.35
Derrick Williams4645-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.434-61014.015.2-1.2713.113.4-0.34
Darko Milicic3636-0.39-0.11-0.270.14-1816-3416.213.92.3713.313.3-0.01
Anthony Tolliver6059-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.491-3414.115.5-1.4313.013.6-0.62
Kevin Love6869-0.780.28-1.06-0.49-108-1815.313.51.8113.213.4-0.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.43,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.72,0.85,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 99, MIN 980.5,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.33,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.58,090.5%
NJN 95, CHA 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.34,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.58,089.5%
SAC 91, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.42,089.5%