NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	8.8 [117]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +44.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	7.1 [99]		LVP	Mark Madsen (MIN): -16.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.45	0.00	0.44	-0.00	3	67%	0.47	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.25	0.08	0.17	0.01	8	72%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	14	75%	0.34	3	-0.17	8	62%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	47%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	1	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
James Posey	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	61%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Bonzi Wells	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	48%	0.03	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	13	42%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.15,0.22,0.34	0.34	0.09	0.25	0.00	18	77%	0.56	6	-0.22	8	87%	0.18
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.00	6	83%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	22	57%	0.13	4	-0.20	9	89%	0.04
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	8	22%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.14	-0.00	4	25%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	27.2	15.7	27.2	1.7	36.0	133.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +58.0%

MIN -42.4%

MIN -1.7%

MEM +24.0%

MEM +12.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.7	105.3	105.4	100.5
season	15.3	15.6		102.3	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.7		98.4	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.5	16.7	15.0	17.6	15.3
MIN	15.2	14.6	16.3	15.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	32	33	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.54	5	-4	9	14.6	15.7	-1.07	13.8	16.4	-2.61
Pau Gasol	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	-6	13	15.0	16.0	-0.95	15.5	15.3	0.25
James Posey	62	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	3	-5	15.7	14.6	1.07	16.2	14.2	2.01
Mike Miller	56	54	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	-6	13	15.4	15.3	0.11	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Earl Watson	29	28	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.50	-8	9	-17	17.6	14.3	3.21	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Jason Williams	65	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-8	17	14.3	17.6	-3.21	15.5	15.5	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	47	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	2	-3	14.9	15.8	-0.96	16.4	14.6	1.88
Stromile Swift	33	34	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	-2	5	14.6	15.7	-1.12	14.6	16.0	-1.44
Bo Outlaw	42	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	10	-19	16.9	14.1	2.80	15.4	15.5	-0.17
Bonzi Wells	38	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	7	-13	15.3	15.4	-0.11	15.9	15.1	0.82

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	43	42	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.04	8	-9	17	14.7	16.1	-1.44	15.9	14.9	0.95
Oliver Miller	18	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-2	3	15.8	15.4	0.45	16.1	15.1	0.91
Darrick Martin	17	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-3	5	16.0	15.4	0.64	15.9	15.2	0.72
Gary Trent	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-3	5	16.2	15.2	0.99	16.0	15.1	0.87
Ervin Johnson	26	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	7	-15	16.6	15.0	1.59	13.7	16.0	-2.25
Fred Hoiberg	55	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.51	6	-7	13	15.0	16.2	-1.20	16.2	14.1	2.05
Kevin Garnett	76	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	2	-5	15.4	15.8	-0.43	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Sam Cassell	76	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	2	-5	15.4	16.0	-0.64	15.2	15.9	-0.72
Latrell Sprewell	72	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	6	-13	15.6	14.9	0.73	15.0	16.5	-1.48
Trenton Hassell	60	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	2	-5	15.5	15.4	0.08	14.9	16.0	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.33,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.52,0.63,0.78,0.42,0	91.3%
MIA 103, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.43,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.72,0.85,0.58,0	90.5%
NJN 95, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.34,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.58,0	90.5%