inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 121 Excitement3.0 [1170] MVPBen McLemore (SAC): +10.9%
Sacramento Kings 96 Comeback2.1 [996] LVPRudy Gay (SAC): -4.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marreese Speights0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.011361%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Andre Iguodala0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.110.000.03885%0.082-0.01475%-0.01
Stephen Curry0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.00-0.001557%0.092-0.031090%0.02
Leandro Barbosa0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.01960%0.0500.002100%0.00
Andrew Bogut0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01386%0.041-0.0110%-0.01
Harrison Barnes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01856%0.031-0.0100%0.00
David Lee0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.01-0.02750%0.051-0.022100%0.00
Shaun Livingston0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01545%0.0200.001100%0.00
Draymond Green0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00657%0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Justin Holiday0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.041258%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Festus Ezeli-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00233%-0.011-0.0220%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben McLemore0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.150.000.04990%0.1110.002100%0.01
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.000.021558%0.051-0.011100%0.00
Nik Stauskas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Hollins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Quincy Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.040.000.072153%0.033-0.05786%0.01
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02650%-0.013-0.024100%0.01
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00217%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ray McCallum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Omri Casspi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.00-0.04329%-0.013-0.0410%-0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.000.041557%-0.004-0.04580%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.727.214.727.52.332.0129.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +38.8%
SAC -0.3%
GSW +5.5%
GSW +7.3%
SAC -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSACNBAGSWSACNBA
this game13.415.415.1121.096.0104.2
season13.614.9109.2103.7
opponent14.815.5107.699.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW11.311.812.519.413.4
SAC14.816.515.814.215.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Lee46480.51-0.010.52-0.4031-63714.812.32.4914.116.5-2.46
Andre Iguodala50500.51-0.010.52-0.2827-22913.113.8-0.6415.914.91.00
Leandro Barbosa46460.450.050.41-0.3126-12714.612.42.2014.016.5-2.44
Marreese Speights43430.270.230.04-0.171510514.112.91.1915.015.7-0.71
Stephen Curry62620.270.230.040.07718-1111.616.4-4.7715.714.80.96
Shaun Livingston38380.230.27-0.04-0.301871116.411.64.7714.815.7-0.96
Andrew Bogut42420.210.29-0.08-0.081015-511.315.0-3.7616.214.71.51
Klay Thompson51500.050.45-0.410.11-227-2911.915.0-3.1016.714.02.68
Festus Ezeli15150.020.48-0.460.02025-2517.612.74.8914.115.6-1.52
Justin Holiday340.000.50-0.50-0.03124-2321.013.27.7913.715.4-1.68
Harrison Barnes5050-0.010.51-0.520.05-227-2913.813.10.6414.915.9-1.00
Draymond Green5452-0.010.51-0.520.17-631-3712.314.8-2.4916.514.12.46

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nik Stauskas660.00-0.500.500.09-3-221914.715.4-0.7420.213.07.16
Ryan Hollins660.00-0.500.500.09-3-221914.715.4-0.7420.213.07.16
Derrick Williams4546-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-232115.515.30.2313.513.40.15
Darren Collison7577-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-201515.216.0-0.8014.111.13.00
Ray McCallum1313-0.13-0.370.240.28-14-11-317.515.02.4213.413.4-0.06
Carl Landry77-0.17-0.330.160.06-8-17915.115.4-0.239.013.8-4.77
Omri Casspi3332-0.20-0.300.110.13-11-14315.315.4-0.1313.013.7-0.69
Quincy Miller1311-0.25-0.250.010.13-13-12-113.915.6-1.6512.213.6-1.41
Rudy Gay7779-0.25-0.25-0.010.07-11-14315.913.52.3912.716.1-3.42
Ramon Sessions1413-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-11-314.915.4-0.589.514.0-4.48
Ben McLemore8584-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.13-6-191315.415.30.0313.314.1-0.82
DeMarcus Cousins8787-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-14-11-315.414.90.5013.314.2-0.82
Jason Thompson3939-0.47-0.03-0.440.14-21-4-1714.615.8-1.1814.712.62.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 130, OKC 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
DAL 130, HOU 990.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
NJN 89, NYK 740.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%