NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	130		Excitement	3.2 [1139]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +20.4%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	2.4 [224]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): -13.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.30	0.01	0.11	11	108%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	13	85%	0.19	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.00	0.04	16	66%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	64%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.21	0.00	0.11	11	86%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	15	61%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	7	47%	0.03	3	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	57%	0.00	2	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Jermaine Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	16%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	7	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	-0.05	6	25%	-0.03	6	-0.10	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.0	15.5	26.1	2.5	27.3	127.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +51.8%

DAL +2.8%

HOU -6.5%

DAL +3.3%

HOU -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.3	136.8	104.2	106.0
season	15.2	15.0		107.2	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.6	14.8	15.9	17.0	15.3
HOU	15.8	15.9	15.4	13.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	59	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.41	35	-4	39	15.4	15.2	0.19	16.0	13.3	2.66
Tim Thomas	46	49	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.39	33	-2	35	15.0	15.6	-0.64	15.8	14.3	1.49
Jose Juan Barea	53	52	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.49	30	1	29	15.9	14.5	1.49	14.2	16.0	-1.77
Kris Humphries	31	30	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.23	19	12	7	14.5	15.7	-1.19	16.5	14.4	2.15
Dirk Nowitzki	71	71	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.16	16	15	1	15.8	13.7	2.16	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Jason Kidd	57	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	26	-21	15.5	15.0	0.47	15.5	14.4	1.11
Shawn Marion	64	63	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.21	12	19	-7	15.1	15.7	-0.68	14.6	15.9	-1.37
Drew Gooden	42	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	35	-39	14.9	15.6	-0.77	15.5	14.7	0.79
Matt Carroll	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	25	-19	14.5	15.4	-0.86	11.6	15.3	-3.74
James Singleton	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	25	-19	14.5	15.4	-0.86	11.6	15.3	-3.74
Rodrigue Beaubois	36	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	34	-37	15.2	15.4	-0.19	13.5	15.9	-2.49

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	52	53	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.24	-3	-28	25	14.3	15.9	-1.64	16.2	14.2	2.00
Brian Cook	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-24	17	12.4	15.3	-2.90	14.5	15.4	-0.86
Jermaine Taylor	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-21	11	11.9	15.5	-3.57	15.3	15.3	0.06
Charles Hayes	32	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-30	29	14.5	15.3	-0.85	14.3	15.8	-1.52
Shane Battier	54	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-33	35	14.9	15.2	-0.33	15.7	14.8	0.89
David Andersen	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.26	-14	-17	3	15.0	15.0	-0.00	15.1	15.4	-0.25
Luis Scola	57	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-16	1	15.1	14.9	0.18	14.5	16.4	-1.87
Chase Budinger	41	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.56	-33	2	-35	15.2	14.9	0.33	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Trevor Ariza	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.13	-20	-11	-9	15.1	14.7	0.44	15.5	14.7	0.78
Carl Landry	53	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.16	-21	-10	-11	15.9	14.0	1.93	16.0	14.3	1.74
Kyle Lowry	62	61	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	0.26	-33	2	-35	16.0	13.3	2.70	15.0	15.7	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 121, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
NJN 89, NYK 74	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
LAL 102, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%