NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	7.8 [278]		MVP	Lance Thomas (NYK): +25.0%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	2.0 [417]		LVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): -15.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.20	0.06	0.03	22	74%	0.34	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	10	70%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Luke Ridnour	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.09	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Devyn Marble	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Victor Oladipo	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	20	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Tobias Harris	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	14	31%	-0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.15	0.00	10	80%	0.29	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.01	10	62%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	-0.00	24	48%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	52%	0.13	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	90%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	-0.00	18	53%	0.05	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.4	16.6	27.4	2.8	37.6	138.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.5%

NYK +3.7%

NYK +13.2%

ORL -0.1%

NYK +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.1	15.3	15.1	105.0	110.8	104.2
season	14.9	16.1		100.4	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.2	14.2	11.8	12.1	13.1
NYK	16.4	12.5	16.5	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	26	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-8	9	13.2	13.0	0.18	16.2	15.0	1.24
Devyn Marble	25	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-7	7	12.0	13.4	-1.46	16.9	14.8	2.09
Elfrid Payton	78	78	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-12	17	13.0	13.4	-0.43	15.8	13.8	1.98
Ben Gordon	14	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	14.3	12.9	1.42	12.6	15.7	-3.08
Victor Oladipo	75	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-10	13	12.5	14.7	-2.15	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Nikola Vucevic	81	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-6	5	12.6	15.0	-2.48	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Channing Frye	73	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-4	1	12.6	14.4	-1.80	15.3	15.3	0.05
Kyle O'Quinn	20	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-1	-5	15.0	12.6	2.48	15.9	15.2	0.70
Luke Ridnour	16	16	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	3	-13	16.3	12.4	3.87	17.5	14.9	2.60
Tobias Harris	60	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	1	-9	13.4	12.6	0.84	14.8	16.0	-1.16
Evan Fournier	37	38	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	7	-21	13.6	12.7	0.84	13.9	16.1	-2.25

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	41	41	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-5	17	14.3	16.0	-1.73	12.8	13.2	-0.39
Lance Thomas	54	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	1	5	15.2	15.4	-0.13	13.1	13.0	0.12
Jason Smith	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	-2	11	15.4	15.2	0.19	12.5	14.4	-1.90
Quincy Acy	10	10	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-3	13	16.5	15.2	1.33	14.5	12.9	1.60
Tim Hardaway Jr.	36	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	3	1	15.2	15.4	-0.17	14.2	12.4	1.79
Carmelo Anthony	87	86	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	6	-5	16.0	11.3	4.66	12.9	14.2	-1.34
Langston Galloway	66	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	4	-1	15.4	15.2	0.17	12.4	14.2	-1.79
Lou Amundson	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	6	-5	15.3	15.3	-0.01	12.8	13.3	-0.51
Cleanthony Early	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	8.7	15.9	-7.28	14.8	12.9	1.89
Shane Larkin	18	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	16.8	15.0	1.79	13.7	12.9	0.74
Jose Calderon	43	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	11	-15	15.7	15.0	0.64	13.0	13.1	-0.06
Cole Aldrich	34	33	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	13	-19	14.9	15.5	-0.54	14.2	12.5	1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.61,0.39,0.64,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 79, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.9,1	91.5%
CHA 103, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.78,0.71,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.96,0.95,1	90.8%
LAC 87, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.86,1,1	90.4%