NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	103		Excitement	7.2 [377]		MVP	Brandon Bass (BOS): +18.6%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	2.4 [258]		LVP	Jannero Pargo (CHA): -18.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.02	26	62%	0.28	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	8	81%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	8	52%	0.12	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.06
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	90%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	10	20%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	-0.00	12	64%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.12	0.08	13	71%	0.22	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	86%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	16	65%	0.16	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	78%	0.24	6	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	11	45%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	24.2	15.4	26.1	1.5	32.3	125.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +38.5%

CHA -1.7%

BOS +18.7%

CHA -16.6%

BOS +11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.1	108.4	112.8	105.2
season	15.7	15.4		102.4	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.1		106.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	15.4	15.8	14.0	15.1
BOS	14.8	16.6	14.2	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	18	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-4	5	14.3	15.3	-1.01	16.1	15.2	0.90
Josh McRoberts	63	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.39	13	-16	29	14.7	15.9	-1.22	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Luke Ridnour	60	61	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-14	25	14.7	15.8	-1.12	16.0	14.3	1.66
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	38	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-2	1	15.8	14.6	1.20	15.3	15.4	-0.11
Gary Neal	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	2	-7	15.3	14.9	0.41	16.2	14.6	1.57
Gerald Henderson	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	14.9	15.3	-0.41	14.6	16.2	-1.57
Chris Douglas-Roberts	57	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-1	-1	14.6	15.8	-1.20	15.4	15.3	0.11
Jannero Pargo	35	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	11	-25	15.8	14.7	1.12	14.3	16.0	-1.66
Cody Zeller	32	32	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	13	-29	15.9	14.7	1.22	16.0	15.1	0.89
Al Jefferson	77	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	1	-5	15.3	14.3	1.01	15.2	16.1	-0.90

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	67	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.42	9	-6	15	15.3	15.5	-0.14	15.5	14.2	1.25
Jeff Green	64	66	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-6	15	15.6	14.8	0.81	15.6	14.0	1.63
Phil Pressey	80	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	5	-7	15.1	16.9	-1.73	14.7	17.1	-2.37
Avery Bradley	71	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	-1	5	15.6	14.7	0.85	15.4	13.9	1.53
Jerryd Bayless	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	-1	5	15.5	15.3	0.26	15.5	14.8	0.65
Jared Sullinger	54	55	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	2	-1	15.5	15.3	0.19	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Kris Humphries	23	23	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	3	-3	15.0	15.5	-0.51	15.2	15.1	0.16
Kelly Olynyk	44	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	7	-11	15.5	15.2	0.31	14.8	15.4	-0.56
Chris Johnson	30	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	9	-15	14.8	15.6	-0.81	13.7	15.7	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.78,0.71,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.96,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 84, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.83,1	91.1%
LAC 100, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	91.1%
MIL 105, SEA 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.85,0.98,1,1	91.0%