NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	5.1 [792]		MVP	Luol Deng (MIA): +17.9%
Miami Heat	89		Comeback	1.1 [879]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -30.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Mahinmi	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.12	0.03	3	100%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
CJ Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06	0.09	-0.10	0.05	6	72%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Donald Sloan	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	14	40%	0.00	5	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.04	0.04	13	82%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.11	0.00	7	53%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	16	54%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	30%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.3,-0.31	-0.31	-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	16	35%	-0.06	6	-0.25	5	60%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	32.3	15.7	25.8	2.7	38.2	143.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +57.0%

IND -8.9%

IND -8.1%

MIA +4.5%

MIA +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	14.7	16.1	15.1	90.6	97.8	104.2
season	16.0	16.0		102.3	102.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	13.9	14.6	14.3	14.7
MIA	12.7	17.0	16.7	18.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donald Sloan	17	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-7	12	15.1	14.6	0.41	18.1	15.7	2.46
Chris Copeland	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	11.4	15.0	-3.55	18.2	16.0	2.19
George Hill	37	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.47	13	-15	28	13.9	15.3	-1.39	17.1	15.5	1.52
CJ Miles	15	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	4	-10	14.4	14.8	-0.38	12.6	16.8	-4.19
Luis Scola	31	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-3	4	12.8	15.6	-2.78	17.9	15.2	2.65
Ian Mahinmi	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-8	14	14.6	14.9	-0.27	17.2	14.4	2.84
Solomon Hill	55	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	7	-16	15.3	14.0	1.25	14.9	17.5	-2.64
Roy Hibbert	39	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	7	-16	15.1	14.5	0.65	14.8	16.9	-2.17
Damjan Rudez	36	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-6	10	13.9	15.2	-1.24	17.8	14.9	2.91
David West	65	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	1	-4	15.6	12.8	2.78	15.2	17.9	-2.65
CJ Watson	56	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	10	-22	14.9	14.4	0.55	15.4	17.1	-1.69
Rodney Stuckey	66	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-5	8	15.2	13.7	1.48	15.9	16.5	-0.60

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	61	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-1	4	15.0	18.4	-3.45	15.2	13.6	1.63
Luol Deng	67	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.44	-2	4	-6	15.1	19.0	-3.91	15.2	13.3	1.85
Udonis Haslem	34	31	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	2	-2	14.8	16.9	-2.07	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Chris Bosh	60	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-10	22	15.8	16.8	-0.99	15.9	12.1	3.75
Chris Andersen	52	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	0	2	15.9	16.4	-0.46	14.8	14.6	0.11
Shabazz Napier	43	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	-4	10	16.5	15.8	0.70	14.8	14.7	0.11
Mario Chalmers	57	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	1	0	16.6	15.3	1.27	13.9	16.2	-2.26
Danny Granger	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	-2	6	19.0	15.1	3.91	13.3	15.2	-1.85
Norris Cole	22	25	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	9	-16	16.6	16.0	0.68	14.4	14.8	-0.49
Shawne Williams	35	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.18	-9	11	-20	18.7	14.5	4.17	13.2	15.5	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.89,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 101, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.85,1	94.9%
SAS 85, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.84,1	94.6%
CHI 81, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.85,0.91,1	94.4%