inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 98 Excitement6.8 [446] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +25.6%
Charlotte Hornets 93 Comeback1.6 [816] LVPKemba Walker (CHA): -19.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.2,0.08,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.260.160.08-0.021479%0.434-0.17667%0.00
Tiago Splitter0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.00475%0.0800.00475%-0.00
Danny Green0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.080.080.010.021172%0.132-0.053100%0.01
Matt Bonner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.00580%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Austin Daye-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.011350%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Tony Parker-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.011242%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Patty Mills-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01926%-0.0500.001100%0.01
Cory Joseph-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1-0.09-0.010.01920%-0.1000.002100%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.0058%-0.081-0.02250%-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
PJ Hairston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.130.130.070.05-0.01961%0.1300.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.00657%0.0300.00944%-0.08
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.020.01944%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00430%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.00840%-0.011-0.044100%0.02
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.00836%-0.041-0.03633%-0.07
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.0020%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.07-0.011239%-0.082-0.06475%-0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19-0.19-0.04-0.100.052448%-0.094-0.111090%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.630.415.728.01.840.7142.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +59.5%
SAS +4.3%
CHA -8.0%
CHA -12.1%
SAS +6.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCHANBASASCHANBA
this game15.714.615.1104.396.9104.2
season15.415.6106.998.9
opponent15.114.9102.6101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.514.018.015.215.7
CHA15.814.812.615.414.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green72730.58-0.080.650.5805-516.413.42.9714.016.7-2.75
Manu Ginobili47480.57-0.070.640.1315-102514.217.1-2.9414.914.40.54
Tiago Splitter33340.460.040.420.0514-92314.516.3-1.8914.714.60.05
Patty Mills49520.410.090.320.217-2914.616.9-2.3614.614.7-0.07
Matt Bonner57570.290.210.080.2323-116.514.52.0114.614.7-0.08
Boris Diaw35350.220.28-0.060.056-1715.116.1-0.9915.414.21.19
Tim Duncan61620.050.45-0.410.25-712-1916.314.51.8914.614.7-0.05
Cory Joseph58600.020.48-0.460.0205-514.717.3-2.6315.513.22.23
Tony Parker4646-0.040.54-0.590.22-914-2317.114.32.8414.315.0-0.74
Austin Daye1213-0.050.55-0.600.04-38-1119.215.24.0913.114.9-1.81

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Maxiell34340.04-0.540.59-0.074-91315.514.21.3215.116.0-0.97
Brian Roberts25250.02-0.520.550.05-1-4316.114.11.9914.716.0-1.31
Lance Stephenson3637-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-5515.414.21.2314.816.3-1.48
Marvin Williams3535-0.14-0.360.22-0.264-91314.214.9-0.6614.516.4-1.86
PJ Hairston4344-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.405-101514.314.9-0.5814.816.5-1.71
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist5451-0.30-0.20-0.090.08-138-2114.714.60.0516.315.01.25
Cody Zeller6362-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.18-50-514.714.60.1116.314.41.93
Gerald Henderson6057-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.32-50-514.215.4-1.2316.314.81.48
Bismack Biyombo5956-0.520.02-0.54-0.23-105-1514.614.8-0.1816.214.81.41
Kemba Walker7169-0.520.02-0.55-0.41-4-1-314.116.1-1.9916.014.71.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.12,0.02,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 110, SEA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.01,0,093.4%
BOS 105, CLE 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.04,092.9%
VAN 121, PHX 1070.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.35,0.13,0.04,0.03,0,0,092.8%