NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	121		Excitement	6.0 [580]		MVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): +21.2%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.5 [68]		LVP	Hot Rod Williams (PHX): -16.1%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.09	0.03	28	66%	0.29	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Lee Mayberry	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.05	0.01	5	150%	0.22	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	13	81%	0.21	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.01	11	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.03	17	62%	0.13	4	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	3	10%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.17	-0.00	0.06	22	75%	0.21	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	12	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	14	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Horacio Llamas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	41%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	15	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	9	36%	-0.13	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	25.2	15.7	25.0	2.5	34.8	126.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +48.9%

VAN +1.8%

VAN +9.8%

PHX -12.5%

VAN +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	PHX	NBA	VAN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	15.6	127.4	111.5	104.4
season	16.3	14.6		97.9	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.5	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.5	14.7	18.9	15.3	15.9
PHX	13.3	13.6	16.3	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	84	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	1	12	16.7	9.8	6.93	14.8	9.7	5.07
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	85	86	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-1	16	16.1	14.3	1.84	14.3	13.7	0.58
Greg Anthony	37	35	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	2	10	14.0	17.2	-3.23	12.9	15.0	-2.05
Lee Mayberry	75	77	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	3	8	16.2	14.8	1.39	14.2	14.3	-0.06
Roy Rogers	57	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	3	8	16.1	15.7	0.35	13.4	15.4	-1.92
Anthony Peeler	55	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	5	4	15.2	16.9	-1.69	14.7	13.5	1.23
Chris Robinson	76	78	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	12	-10	15.9	15.9	0.00	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Aaron Williams	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	17	-20	15.7	16.0	-0.30	17.0	14.0	2.97

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horacio Llamas	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-11	8	8.5	14.3	-5.84	2.0	16.2	-14.25
Steve Nash	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-11	8	8.5	14.3	-5.84	2.0	16.2	-14.25
Cedric Ceballos	39	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.11	3	-17	20	13.0	15.1	-2.05	14.5	17.0	-2.50
Mike Brown	17	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-6	-2	16.5	13.7	2.81	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Wesley Person	61	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-8	2	14.4	13.9	0.43	15.7	16.4	-0.64
Rex Chapman	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-9	4	14.1	14.6	-0.47	15.9	16.1	-0.18
Wayman Tisdale	40	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-2	-10	14.3	14.2	0.10	16.4	15.6	0.75
Hot Rod Williams	71	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-7	0	14.6	13.2	1.32	17.0	13.4	3.60
Kevin Johnson	89	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	-5	-4	14.4	11.7	2.70	16.3	11.9	4.45
Jason Kidd	90	90	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.03	-20	6	-26	14.1	16.5	-2.43	16.1	13.4	2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.35,0.13,0.04,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
ATL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	93.8%
NJN 110, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.33,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.7%