NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	110		Excitement	6.4 [490]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +16.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	94		Comeback	1.4 [1076]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): -21.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.01	-0.01	17	72%	0.33	6	-0.16	20	75%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	92%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.05	0.06	10	61%	0.11	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Brian Cook	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.22	-0.02	-0.04	19	22%	-0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	21	42%	0.08	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.08
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	20	45%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	10	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Mouhamed Sene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	28.0	16.8	32.1	1.7	36.3	141.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +45.2%

SEA -4.1%

ORL +8.8%

SEA -7.6%

ORL +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SEA	NBA	ORL	SEA	NBA
this game	13.7	14.8	15.4	108.9	93.1	105.7
season	15.1	14.5		109.9	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.6		107.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.1	12.5	12.9	16.5	13.7
SEA	13.6	16.8	14.8	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	42	43	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.15	18	-2	20	12.2	14.7	-2.51	15.3	14.5	0.81
Dwight Howard	87	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-2	20	13.4	15.6	-2.25	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Rashard Lewis	86	84	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	6	4	13.7	13.5	0.28	14.4	16.9	-2.49
Jameer Nelson	53	53	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	7	2	13.0	14.5	-1.44	14.2	15.5	-1.39
Carlos Arroyo	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	9	-2	14.5	13.0	1.44	15.5	14.2	1.39
Keith Bogans	57	57	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	7	2	13.7	13.7	0.08	14.8	14.9	-0.13
JJ Redick	36	37	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	14	-12	14.0	13.5	0.46	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Brian Cook	12	13	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	13	-10	12.2	13.9	-1.65	16.9	14.5	2.42
Hedo Turkoglu	70	69	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	10	-4	14.6	11.7	2.92	15.1	14.2	0.82
Adonal Foyle	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	18	-20	15.6	13.4	2.25	15.1	14.8	0.30

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	48	49	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-19	22	15.0	14.6	0.40	14.4	13.1	1.29
Mouhamed Sene	13	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-16	16	16.5	14.6	1.89	12.7	13.8	-1.18
Kurt Thomas	65	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-14	12	14.6	15.3	-0.72	14.6	12.1	2.47
Kevin Durant	73	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-8	0	14.1	16.6	-2.53	14.1	12.8	1.27
Johan Petro	26	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-7	-2	12.8	15.5	-2.70	11.6	14.4	-2.86
Earl Watson	57	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-8	0	13.5	16.6	-3.11	13.7	13.7	0.07
Delonte West	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-8	0	16.6	13.5	3.11	13.7	13.7	-0.07
Damien Wilkins	51	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-4	-8	16.0	13.6	2.36	13.3	14.1	-0.76
Wally Szczerbiak	72	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	-1	-14	15.2	13.9	1.28	13.6	13.9	-0.29
Jeff Green	56	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.08	-21	5	-26	14.9	14.8	0.10	13.3	14.2	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.01,0	93.9%
IND 119, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.05,0,0,0	93.8%
SAS 98, CHA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.12,0.02,0.02,0	93.4%