NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	5.8 [627]		MVP	DJ Mbenga (LAL): +11.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	1.5 [1053]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -18.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DJ Mbenga	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	7	73%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	17	69%	0.25	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	9	65%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Adam Morrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.03	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Shannon Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	16	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	13	73%	0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	48%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	13	43%	0.00	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	16	44%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	10	20%	-0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	28.0	15.8	24.8	1.0	31.2	127.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.1%

LAL +12.1%

MIN -6.6%

LAL +12.7%

LAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	15.4	15.3	107.8	96.7	106.0
season	15.7	14.7		107.9	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		109.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.9	15.5	14.8	16.8	16.5
MIN	15.4	15.1	17.1	13.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	53	54	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	0	9	16.5	16.5	-0.01	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Pau Gasol	64	65	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	3	3	16.9	15.4	1.54	14.9	16.4	-1.45
Shannon Brown	63	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	3	3	16.8	15.7	1.05	14.9	16.4	-1.55
Josh Powell	38	37	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	2	5	15.4	17.2	-1.78	15.7	15.1	0.55
Lamar Odom	52	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	7	-5	17.2	15.4	1.78	15.1	15.7	-0.55
Sasha Vujacic	27	27	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	6	-3	15.7	16.8	-1.05	16.4	14.9	1.55
Metta World Peace	52	52	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	9	-9	16.7	16.2	0.51	14.7	16.2	-1.45
Luke Walton	34	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	6	-3	16.0	16.7	-0.72	16.6	14.6	2.02
DJ Mbenga	26	26	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	6	-3	15.4	16.9	-1.54	16.4	14.9	1.45
Adam Morrison	4	5	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	3	3	17.5	16.4	1.07	13.2	15.5	-2.28
Derek Fisher	37	37	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	9	-9	16.5	16.5	0.01	15.6	15.2	0.41

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	5	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-7	5	22.4	14.9	7.46	18.7	16.4	2.38
Darko Milicic	74	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.34	7	-16	23	15.4	14.9	0.50	16.5	16.5	0.01
Damien Wilkins	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-8	7	15.8	15.2	0.69	17.3	16.2	1.17
Ryan Hollins	18	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-1	-7	16.4	15.1	1.36	18.5	16.0	2.53
Wayne Ellington	33	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-4	-1	15.7	15.1	0.59	18.4	15.5	2.96
Jonny Flynn	55	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	15.3	15.4	-0.15	15.7	17.7	-2.03
Ramon Sessions	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-5	1	15.4	15.3	0.15	17.7	15.7	2.03
Corey Brewer	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-5	1	15.1	15.7	-0.59	15.5	18.4	-2.96
Ryan Gomes	74	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	0	-9	15.0	17.0	-2.03	16.0	19.1	-3.07
Kevin Love	76	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.13	-14	5	-19	14.7	18.5	-3.73	16.1	18.4	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, SEA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.1,0.01,0,0	93.9%
PHI 106, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	93.9%
IND 119, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.05,0,0,0	93.8%