NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	5.8 [647]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (DET): +31.5%
Detroit Pistons	114		Comeback	1.4 [790]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -21.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.01	7	81%	0.18	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Ray McCallum	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	9	55%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	16	35%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Ben McLemore	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	11	38%	-0.09	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.05	-0.00	17	40%	-0.07	6	-0.15	11	73%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.32	0.27	0.13	0.08	21	80%	0.35	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.04	0.02	11	56%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	12	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	29.6	16.5	24.2	1.8	29.3	126.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +48.1%

SAC -15.9%

DET +8.5%

DET +10.1%

SAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	15.1	94.1	112.9	104.2
season	14.9	15.7		103.7	104.0
opponent	15.3	14.8		105.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	15.3	12.0	16.3	14.5
DET	12.5	13.5	15.2	15.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	49	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-21	23	13.6	15.4	-1.85	14.0	14.1	-0.10
Nik Stauskas	33	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-9	-1	15.1	14.2	0.83	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Darren Collison	61	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-9	-1	13.7	15.8	-2.10	14.4	13.5	0.91
Carl Landry	29	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-12	5	14.6	14.5	0.07	14.9	13.7	1.25
Ben McLemore	84	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.13	-13	-6	-7	14.2	16.1	-1.87	14.0	14.2	-0.27
Ray McCallum	40	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-10	1	15.8	13.7	2.10	13.5	14.4	-0.91
Rudy Gay	77	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-1	-17	14.2	15.5	-1.31	13.8	14.5	-0.71
Derrick Williams	48	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-11	3	14.4	14.6	-0.13	14.6	13.5	1.13
DeMarcus Cousins	84	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.09	-22	3	-25	15.5	9.8	5.70	13.8	15.1	-1.34

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	58	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	2	15	14.3	13.6	0.71	15.0	13.8	1.19
Caron Butler	50	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	11	-3	15.5	12.6	2.91	14.2	14.8	-0.66
Jodie Meeks	51	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	2	15	14.2	13.8	0.38	14.5	14.5	0.01
D.J. Augustin	35	34	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	12	-5	14.7	13.7	1.03	15.4	14.1	1.28
Jonas Jerebko	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	5	9	14.2	13.9	0.30	14.5	14.5	0.09
Anthony Tolliver	15	15	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	10	-1	13.0	14.2	-1.19	15.0	14.4	0.58
Brandon Jennings	66	67	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.17	12	7	5	13.7	14.7	-1.03	14.1	15.4	-1.28
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	58	57	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.18	12	7	5	13.4	14.9	-1.48	14.7	14.2	0.53
Kyle Singler	43	43	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	18	-17	12.9	14.8	-1.88	14.6	14.4	0.13
Joel Anthony	17	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	19	-19	14.2	14.0	0.27	15.4	14.3	1.11
Greg Monroe	60	59	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	21	-23	13.8	14.3	-0.56	13.6	15.8	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, BKN 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.5%
DEN 93, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIA 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	94.0%