NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	6.2 [586]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (BKN): +44.2%
Brooklyn Nets	107		Comeback	1.3 [773]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -12.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.07	0.00	6	87%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Brandan Wright	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	15	59%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shane Larkin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.03	15	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.07	11	57%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.00	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	15	46%	-0.03	3	-0.10	9	89%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.33	0.10	-0.02	18	87%	0.44	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.01	8	69%	0.23	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.03
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.05
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	5	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	26.6	15.4	28.3	2.4	41.9	140.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +43.1%

BKN +10.0%

DAL -11.5%

BKN +4.9%

BKN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BKN	NBA	DAL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.1	112.8	113.8	105.2
season	15.3	15.7		109.0	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.0		106.7	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	18.9	14.8	13.0	15.4
BKN	16.5	14.7	15.2	14.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Larkin	10	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-2	3	18.8	14.9	3.86	15.4	15.3	0.17
Devin Harris	31	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	15.5	15.3	0.20	15.3	15.3	0.07
Samuel Dalembert	26	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-3	5	16.3	15.0	1.32	16.3	14.9	1.42
Jae Crowder	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-2	3	11.0	15.8	-4.76	12.2	15.6	-3.39
DeJuan Blair	30	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	5	-11	16.5	14.8	1.74	15.3	15.3	0.03
Shawn Marion	63	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-8	15	14.8	16.5	-1.74	16.7	12.5	4.23
Dirk Nowitzki	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.53	5	-6	11	15.5	15.0	0.41	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Vince Carter	60	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	2	-5	15.0	15.9	-0.83	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Brandan Wright	24	26	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	10	-21	16.2	15.0	1.21	12.6	16.3	-3.69
Monta Ellis	75	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	1	-3	15.0	16.9	-1.93	15.3	15.1	0.28
Jose Calderon	72	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.53	0	-1	1	15.2	15.8	-0.55	15.4	14.9	0.50

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirza Teletovic	51	51	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.27	12	-11	23	15.7	14.8	0.83	15.7	15.0	0.69
Deron Williams	69	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-13	27	14.3	18.0	-3.70	15.4	15.1	0.36
Andrei Kirilenko	40	41	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	-5	11	13.4	16.7	-3.33	15.9	14.9	0.93
Jason Terry	36	37	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-10	21	14.8	15.6	-0.74	16.5	14.6	1.83
Andray Blatche	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	-3	7	16.1	14.2	1.85	15.4	15.2	0.22
Kevin Garnett	40	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	4	-7	14.2	16.1	-1.85	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Joe Johnson	58	57	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.26	-6	7	-13	15.7	14.7	0.96	14.5	16.6	-2.05
Paul Pierce	58	56	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.29	-9	10	-19	15.6	14.8	0.83	14.5	16.7	-2.19
Shaun Livingston	44	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.28	-11	12	-23	17.3	13.5	3.86	15.5	15.2	0.32
Alan Anderson	20	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.23	-13	14	-27	15.8	15.1	0.71	15.5	15.3	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, DET 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.5%
POR 82, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NJN 100, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.99,0.94,1,1	94.3%