NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	93		Excitement	6.1 [611]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +21.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	1.0 [599]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (LAC): -14.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.06	-0.02	14	64%	0.23	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.03
Arron Afflalo	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Forbes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	26	51%	0.05	5	-0.10	9	78%	0.01
Ty Lawson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	52%	-0.00	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Carter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	0.02	7	21%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.07	-0.02	20	61%	0.24	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.00	-0.02	13	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	10	65%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	7	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	18	49%	0.06	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	42%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	8%	-0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	7	12%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	32.5	15.8	30.3	2.6	32.2	139.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.1%

DEN -14.5%

LAC +21.1%

LAC +3.9%

DEN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	16.1	15.5	98.9	114.0	105.7
season	14.3	15.4		110.7	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.2	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.2	14.5	13.4	14.9	14.7
LAC	13.8	14.9	15.4	21.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	32	31	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-18	23	15.5	14.3	1.19	15.2	16.5	-1.26
Chris Andersen	42	41	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.24	10	-23	33	13.6	15.6	-1.99	17.1	15.3	1.80
Gary Forbes	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	9.0	15.0	-6.00	16.7	16.0	0.62
Ty Lawson	20	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	13.1	15.2	-2.03	14.9	16.4	-1.47
J.R. Smith	57	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-18	23	13.6	16.5	-2.87	18.1	12.8	5.27
Anthony Carter	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-12	11	12.5	15.1	-2.57	21.9	15.2	6.72
Al Harrington	40	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-2	-9	13.5	15.7	-2.21	15.0	16.9	-1.95
Chauncey Billups	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	3	-19	15.9	12.2	3.67	15.0	18.5	-3.54
Carmelo Anthony	74	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	3	-19	15.1	13.3	1.77	16.5	14.4	2.01
Arron Afflalo	63	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	8	-29	15.5	13.2	2.31	15.0	18.0	-3.00
Nene	61	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.12	-23	10	-33	15.9	12.7	3.20	15.5	17.1	-1.59

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	71	72	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.03	22	-9	31	15.4	18.1	-2.65	15.5	12.2	3.35
Eric Gordon	75	73	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.03	22	-9	31	15.5	18.4	-2.95	15.7	11.3	4.39
DeAndre Jordan	78	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-3	19	16.1	15.9	0.16	15.4	11.7	3.61
Baron Davis	59	60	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.10	21	-8	29	15.4	17.3	-1.89	15.9	12.6	3.29
Al-Farouq Aminu	33	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	10	-7	16.7	15.7	0.93	13.6	15.4	-1.86
Ryan Gomes	68	69	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	11	-9	15.8	16.8	-1.01	14.7	15.0	-0.35
Eric Bledsoe	34	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.22	-8	21	-29	17.3	15.4	1.89	12.6	15.9	-3.29
Ike Diogu	23	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	18	-23	18.0	15.4	2.63	12.5	15.5	-2.94
Randy Foye	24	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	21	-29	17.7	15.5	2.16	11.9	15.9	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.95,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,1	94.5%
SAC 95, DET 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.2%
WAS 98, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.97,1,1	93.9%