NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	6.2 [532]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +17.2%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.1 [812]		LVP	Dana Barros (BOS): -13.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.01	12	85%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	4	90%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Terry Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ledell Eackles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Harvey Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	3	25%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	19	51%	0.06	4	-0.12	7	43%	-0.05
Rod Strickland	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	12	72%	0.06	6	-0.16	8	87%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.01	26	61%	0.20	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	7	71%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	18	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	16	34%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	2	30%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	8	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.7	23.2	15.3	27.0	2.0	34.0	130.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -7.4%

WAS -1.9%

BOS +19.3%

BOS +38.0%

BOS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.4	15.6	105.4	116.1	102.5
season	15.1	15.1		102.8	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.5	15.5	15.9	14.1	15.5
BOS	13.5	13.3	16.1	19.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harvey Grant	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-8	6	15.8	15.4	0.38	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Ledell Eackles	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-6	2	17.7	15.4	2.26	10.5	15.8	-5.26
Terry Davis	26	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-5	0	18.2	14.5	3.62	12.1	16.7	-4.59
Chris Whitney	24	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-4	-2	14.2	16.0	-1.81	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Ben Wallace	22	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-1	-8	13.8	16.1	-2.27	14.5	15.7	-1.17
Darvin Ham	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-12	14	15.3	15.8	-0.48	17.5	12.7	4.81
Tracy Murray	68	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.18	-4	-6	2	15.0	17.0	-1.99	15.8	14.5	1.28
Rod Strickland	82	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-4	-2	15.8	13.7	2.07	15.5	14.8	0.68
Chris Webber	77	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	15.5	15.6	-0.09	15.7	13.7	2.01
Calbert Cheaney	85	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	15.7	14.1	1.56	15.4	15.1	0.30

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	79	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-6	22	14.9	18.3	-3.37	15.9	13.0	2.89
Ron Mercer	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	0	10	15.4	15.6	-0.20	16.2	12.8	3.37
Andrew DeClercq	34	33	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-7	24	11.5	17.7	-6.18	16.5	15.0	1.40
Bruce Bowen	40	40	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	6	-2	16.8	14.3	2.51	13.7	16.9	-3.24
Kenny Anderson	66	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	4	2	15.8	14.4	1.37	16.4	13.4	2.95
Walter McCarty	46	47	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	5	0	16.5	14.4	2.10	16.1	15.0	1.04
Dana Barros	28	27	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	6	-2	14.6	15.8	-1.21	12.9	16.6	-3.70
Pervis Ellison	15	14	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	7	-4	15.4	15.4	-0.02	15.9	15.5	0.45
Greg Minor	45	44	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	14.9	15.9	-0.94	15.8	15.3	0.47
Travis Knight	38	36	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.18	-12	22	-34	17.8	13.8	4.01	13.9	16.6	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.96,1,1,1	94.5%
MEM 77, OKC 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 114, TOR 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.1%