inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 77 Excitement5.8 [676] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +17.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder 86 Comeback1.2 [1105] LVPZach Randolph (MEM): -14.8%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Lee0.040,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.050.03-0.061044%0.062-0.02580%0.01
Marc Gasol0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.021150%0.041-0.01475%-0.00
Ed Davis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.00955%0.041-0.042100%0.02
Kosta Koufos-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00650%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Nick Calathes-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.021136%-0.0100.0000%0.00
James Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.03-0.05850%-0.003-0.0300%0.00
Jamaal Franklin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.020.001020%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.06-0.060.021541%-0.102-0.05250%-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.170.170.040.09-0.042160%0.245-0.071070%-0.03
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.10.100.090.01-0.001760%0.131-0.031100%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.090.05-0.071540%0.093-0.0500%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00554%0.071-0.04367%-0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Roberson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00350%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00631%-0.0300.0010%-0.01
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00237%-0.011-0.02425%-0.05
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02420%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02125%-0.013-0.05250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.31.833.115.425.31.833.2131.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +52.1%
OKC +0.6%
OKC +5.8%
MEM -6.5%
MEM -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMOKCNBAMEMOKCNBA
this game17.414.815.186.595.6105.2
season16.414.4104.5107.8
opponent15.415.2102.9103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM19.416.019.015.617.4
OKC14.213.415.316.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Franklin880.06-0.560.630.002-111311.718.0-6.2312.015.0-3.05
Kosta Koufos26270.01-0.510.52-0.114-131716.118.0-1.8415.614.41.22
Ed Davis1313-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-101115.817.7-1.8413.814.9-1.18
Tayshaun Prince4949-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-4-120.513.76.7914.814.8-0.05
Nick Calathes5354-0.23-0.270.05-0.11-4-5117.816.81.0214.215.6-1.34
Courtney Lee6767-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.16-6-3-317.616.90.7315.113.81.34
Mike Miller4547-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.24-4-5116.518.4-1.9214.714.8-0.07
Marc Gasol6869-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.20-90-917.816.21.6015.014.00.95
Zach Randolph6868-0.520.02-0.53-0.14-134-1717.915.82.1015.113.91.15
James Johnson4848-0.520.02-0.54-0.20-112-1315.319.9-4.5714.515.1-0.60

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant74720.59-0.090.680.2412-31514.914.40.4917.815.82.04
Thabo Sefolosha57570.52-0.020.540.1114-51914.615.1-0.4917.916.51.48
Reggie Jackson61610.350.150.200.1472515.214.01.2017.317.7-0.38
Serge Ibaka67670.310.190.120.1172515.113.71.4018.115.42.67
Kendrick Perkins47490.300.200.100.0490914.614.9-0.2917.017.9-0.97
Steven Adams43400.200.30-0.100.2009-914.914.60.2917.917.00.97
Nick Collison22220.180.32-0.140.1227-514.414.9-0.5515.418.1-2.67
Derek Fisher29280.150.35-0.200.0927-514.015.2-1.2017.717.30.38
Perry Jones25240.040.46-0.420.10-211-1314.914.70.2016.517.7-1.20
Andre Roberson210.010.49-0.480.0109-90.015.1-15.119.017.5-8.51
Jeremy Lamb2324-0.150.65-0.790.03-615-2115.414.60.8816.217.9-1.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.95,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 98, BOS 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.97,1,194.3%
MIA 88, SAC 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,193.8%
NYK 89, DET 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.96,1,1,193.5%