NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	5.9 [625]		MVP	KJ McDaniels (PHI): +11.3%
Orlando Magic	88		Comeback	4.4 [80]		LVP	Tony Wroten (PHI): -14.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
KJ McDaniels	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Nerlens Noel	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	13	45%	0.06	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
JaKarr Sampson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	12	66%	0.10	6	-0.17	8	75%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	11	37%	-0.07	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	16	68%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.09	3	-0.09	7	43%	-0.06
Ben Gordon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.01	0.07	14	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	21	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	7	6%	-0.12	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	28.1	15.4	25.4	2.5	41.5	141.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +12.4%

PHI +14.3%

PHI +18.6%

ORL -0.1%

PHI +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.9	15.1	100.0	92.6	104.2
season	14.9	14.9		94.3	100.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		105.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	16.6	14.8	15.2	15.3
ORL	16.0	16.1	15.2	12.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	32	32	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-8	24	15.5	15.2	0.36	13.1	15.8	-2.72
Tony Wroten	62	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-1	10	15.8	14.4	1.32	13.9	16.8	-2.90
KJ McDaniels	40	41	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-6	20	15.5	15.1	0.36	14.6	15.1	-0.53
Henry Sims	43	42	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-5	18	15.2	15.3	-0.11	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Robert Covington	79	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	2	4	15.3	15.5	-0.22	15.1	13.8	1.34
JaKarr Sampson	35	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	7	-6	14.5	15.8	-1.27	16.1	14.2	1.83
Michael Carter-Williams	72	71	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.21	-6	14	-20	15.2	15.5	-0.33	15.1	14.2	0.93
Luc Mbah a Moute	53	53	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.16	-5	13	-18	15.2	15.4	-0.27	15.5	14.1	1.38
Nerlens Noel	64	63	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	16	-24	15.3	15.2	0.06	15.9	12.8	3.05

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	72	75	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.22	14	-22	36	15.0	14.3	0.68	15.6	14.2	1.35
Tobias Harris	74	76	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.24	13	-21	34	14.9	14.7	0.19	15.4	15.0	0.37
Victor Oladipo	75	78	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.17	9	-17	26	15.1	14.1	0.97	15.5	14.6	0.91
Ben Gordon	6	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-2	-4	11.3	15.1	-3.77	20.6	15.0	5.60
Luke Ridnour	11	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-2	-4	13.7	15.0	-1.28	17.5	15.0	2.52
Dewayne Dedmon	11	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-2	-4	13.7	15.0	-1.28	17.5	15.0	2.52
Kyle O'Quinn	53	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-2	-4	15.7	13.8	1.85	14.3	16.5	-2.23
Elfrid Payton	69	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-6	4	15.5	13.1	2.41	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Maurice Harkless	9	8	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	5	-18	14.1	14.9	-0.83	11.2	15.7	-4.41
Evan Fournier	57	55	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.24	-16	8	-24	13.5	16.9	-3.34	15.6	14.9	0.68
Channing Frye	38	36	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.11	-21	13	-34	15.1	14.7	0.45	14.5	15.8	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, ATL 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.2%
MEM 98, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	92.7%
CHI 113, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.01,0	92.3%