NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	6.5 [503]		MVP	Al Jefferson (CHA): +20.3%
Charlotte Hornets	96		Comeback	2.0 [622]		LVP	Evan Turner (BOS): -15.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	13	57%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	9	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	12	55%	0.02	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	11	55%	0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Avery Bradley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.12	0.01	15	64%	0.24	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.05
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	14	50%	0.13	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	60%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	14	43%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	9	15%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	28.1	14.6	28.5	2.3	31.3	131.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -6.3%

CHA +34.9%

CHA +0.1%

CHA +19.6%

CHA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.1	89.7	97.0	104.2
season	14.3	15.6		103.1	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		102.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	15.3	14.7	13.7	14.6
CHA	14.8	12.9	14.7	16.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	39	39	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.05	8	-17	25	13.7	15.2	-1.54	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Phil Pressey	11	13	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-13	17	12.2	14.9	-2.71	15.7	14.7	1.03
Marcus Thornton	39	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.29	8	-17	25	14.0	15.0	-0.98	14.9	14.7	0.17
Kelly Olynyk	43	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-13	17	13.9	15.1	-1.18	13.6	15.7	-2.19
Evan Turner	45	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-10	11	14.7	14.5	0.23	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Marcus Smart	28	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-7	5	13.7	14.9	-1.18	13.4	15.2	-1.82
Jared Sullinger	56	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-5	1	14.8	14.3	0.55	14.9	14.6	0.30
Avery Bradley	48	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	2	-13	15.2	14.0	1.15	14.5	15.1	-0.53
Jeff Green	64	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	4	-17	14.5	14.8	-0.35	15.2	14.0	1.15
Tyler Zeller	50	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.09	-19	10	-29	15.7	13.4	2.38	15.8	13.6	2.21
Rajon Rondo	62	63	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.09	-21	12	-33	15.2	13.4	1.81	15.5	13.6	1.95

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	71	72	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.15	23	-14	37	15.2	13.7	1.46	15.2	12.9	2.30
Lance Stephenson	75	75	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.16	21	-12	33	15.1	13.9	1.22	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Cody Zeller	48	46	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.04	17	-8	25	14.6	15.0	-0.46	15.6	13.7	1.90
Kemba Walker	74	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-4	17	14.9	14.5	0.43	14.5	14.8	-0.23
Gerald Henderson	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	2	5	15.7	13.8	1.95	14.9	14.2	0.75
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	41	37	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	10	-11	13.9	15.4	-1.49	14.6	14.6	0.01
Brian Roberts	25	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	13	-17	14.5	14.9	-0.43	14.8	14.5	0.23
Marvin Williams	52	52	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.23	-10	19	-29	14.7	14.9	-0.14	13.4	15.9	-2.47
Gary Neal	34	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	18	-27	13.6	15.4	-1.75	13.7	15.0	-1.25
Bismack Biyombo	24	23	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.05	-12	21	-33	14.4	14.9	-0.56	13.7	14.9	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.61,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 85, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	92.8%
TOR 94, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	91.9%
SEA 97, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,1	91.8%