NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	85		Excitement	7.2 [385]		MVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): +14.0%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	2.3 [252]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -16.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.03	-0.05	8	71%	0.15	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Baron Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	13	52%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.06
George Lynch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Stacey Augmon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	11	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	23	46%	-0.09	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.00	0.13	-0.01	11	59%	0.24	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	5	80%	0.19	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	68%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Felton Spencer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	25	47%	-0.03	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	17	31%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	24.2	17.5	25.3	2.6	30.4	127.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.7%

NYK +7.6%

NYK +18.1%

CHH -17.4%

NYK +10.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	17.0	15.6	97.7	102.2	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		102.2	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.6		103.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.2	12.2	18.7	18.9	15.7
NYK	16.4	18.6	14.0	19.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	43	42	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-13	20	14.7	16.8	-2.12	17.2	16.7	0.51
Robert Traylor	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-11	16	14.6	16.5	-1.97	18.2	16.2	1.99
George Lynch	34	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-11	16	14.5	16.5	-2.00	18.1	16.2	1.91
Bryce Drew	7	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-7	8	18.7	15.5	3.23	12.4	17.5	-5.03
Baron Davis	72	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-4	2	16.1	14.1	1.95	17.2	15.8	1.40
Jamal Mashburn	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	1	-8	15.5	18.7	-3.23	17.5	12.4	5.03
P.J. Brown	53	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	5	-16	16.5	14.5	2.00	16.2	18.1	-1.91
Jamaal Magloire	52	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	5	-16	16.5	14.6	1.97	16.2	18.2	-1.99
David Wesley	59	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.14	-17	11	-28	16.1	15.0	1.15	16.5	18.0	-1.54

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	62	60	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.16	22	-16	38	15.7	19.9	-4.14	16.9	13.1	3.77
Clar. Weatherspoon	81	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-1	8	16.9	17.6	-0.72	16.1	12.7	3.44
Kurt Thomas	78	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-5	16	16.2	22.4	-6.16	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	87	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	0	6	16.9	21.0	-4.13	15.8	15.0	0.76
Shandon Anderson	61	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	4	-2	17.6	15.5	2.14	16.7	13.5	3.23
Lavor Postell	21	20	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	0	6	16.5	17.1	-0.64	13.7	16.3	-2.59
Felton Spencer	1	1	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	3	0	6.0	17.1	-11.09	0.0	15.9	-15.93
Howard Eisley	32	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.18	-13	19	-32	18.2	16.2	2.00	13.5	17.1	-3.64
Travis Knight	22	23	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.15	-14	20	-34	21.0	15.6	5.42	14.5	16.2	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.85,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.61,0.89,0.98,1,1	92.8%
DAL 104, NOP 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	92.5%
MIL 107, NOH 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.92,1	91.9%