NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	97		Excitement	6.0 [362]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (MIL): +17.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	1.7 [276]		LVP	Billy Owens (SEA): -11.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	10	70%	0.11	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	77%	0.10	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Dale Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	13	53%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Vin Baker	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	11	56%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.06
Olden Polynice	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Drew Barry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	20	48%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Billy Owens	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.06	0.02	10	83%	0.17	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	14	59%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	15	67%	0.15	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	13	39%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	26.4	15.4	24.5	1.5	39.4	131.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +33.9%

SEA -6.0%

MIL +5.0%

MIL +13.1%

MIL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIL	NBA	SEA	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.8	107.8	111.0	99.6
season	15.4	15.8		102.4	102.4
opponent	16.4	15.9		100.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	12.5	19.0	17.0	15.7
MIL	15.0	17.5	16.2	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	11	11	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.00	4	-8	12	13.0	16.1	-3.08	21.3	15.4	5.86
Drew Barry	11	12	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-6	8	10.4	16.4	-6.08	16.5	16.1	0.44
Billy Owens	46	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-3	2	15.7	15.7	0.04	15.0	17.2	-2.18
Vin Baker	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	2	-8	16.1	15.1	1.03	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Detlef Schrempf	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-9	14	15.4	16.5	-1.14	16.5	15.0	1.49
Dale Ellis	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-5	6	15.1	16.7	-1.61	16.0	16.3	-0.35
Hersey Hawkins	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	0	-4	15.9	14.9	1.03	16.5	14.7	1.82
Gary Payton	81	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	2	-8	16.2	11.4	4.73	15.5	21.4	-5.91
Olden Polynice	55	55	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.21	-15	11	-26	16.9	13.8	3.11	16.2	16.0	0.25

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	70	70	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-9	22	15.0	19.9	-4.92	15.7	15.8	-0.19
Tyrone Hill	66	66	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	15.9	16.7	-0.83	16.3	14.0	2.38
Ray Allen	67	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-3	10	15.5	18.0	-2.50	16.2	14.2	2.03
Glenn Robinson	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-2	8	15.7	17.4	-1.76	16.0	14.9	1.05
Ervin Johnson	40	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	-3	10	16.3	16.0	0.27	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Robert Traylor	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	-5	14	16.1	16.1	-0.00	17.8	14.9	2.91
Michael Curry	44	44	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.46	-13	17	-30	16.4	15.9	0.51	14.2	17.1	-2.88
Dell Curry	25	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	5	-6	17.4	15.7	1.71	13.8	16.4	-2.69
Armen Gilliam	29	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	11	-18	17.5	15.5	2.05	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Vinny Del Negro	21	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	13	-22	19.9	15.0	4.92	15.8	15.7	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	94.4%
MIL 107, NOH 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.92,1	94.4%
DET 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	93.9%