NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	97		Excitement	8.8 [158]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +51.9%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	18.9 [166]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -16.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23	0.03	0.20	0.00	14	52%	0.26	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Victor Oladipo	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.07	0.03	14	84%	0.30	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.22,-0.03	0.04	-0.08	-0.01	16	60%	0.29	3	-0.32	3	100%	0.02
Willie Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	10	32%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.52	0.52	0.03	0.48	-0.01	17	59%	0.61	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.06
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.34,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.15	0.01	16	62%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	7	44%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	12	39%	-0.05	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.3	26.3	15.6	23.4	1.8	32.4	126.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +13.5%

GSW +1.9%

GSW +19.9%

GSW +14.2%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	GSW	NBA	ORL	GSW	NBA
this game	16.7	13.6	15.1	101.0	104.3	104.2
season	14.9	13.6		100.4	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.1	17.5	14.4	19.1	16.7
GSW	15.2	11.8	13.8	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	58	58	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.02	7	-8	15	15.9	17.8	-1.84	13.8	13.3	0.44
Ben Gordon	31	29	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.20	0	-1	1	16.7	16.7	0.00	15.0	13.0	2.02
Dewayne Dedmon	14	13	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.12	9	-10	19	15.4	16.9	-1.55	14.5	13.5	1.08
Willie Green	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.25	-13	12	-25	17.6	16.1	1.49	13.8	13.5	0.28
Elfrid Payton	57	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-1	1	17.0	16.2	0.75	14.0	13.0	0.99
Evan Fournier	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.57	5	-6	11	17.0	15.4	1.61	13.2	15.1	-1.86
Tobias Harris	76	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.60	-1	0	-1	16.6	16.9	-0.34	13.2	15.1	-1.88
Kyle O'Quinn	56	55	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.52	-7	6	-13	16.9	16.4	0.52	13.7	13.5	0.16
Victor Oladipo	76	73	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.63	-5	4	-9	16.4	17.8	-1.42	13.1	15.5	-2.41

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	70	70	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.60	7	-6	13	13.1	15.1	-2.04	16.6	16.9	-0.28
Stephen Curry	72	71	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.53	8	-7	15	13.4	14.3	-0.93	16.6	17.0	-0.44
Draymond Green	68	69	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.70	-3	4	-7	12.9	15.4	-2.46	16.6	16.8	-0.19
Andrew Bogut	62	64	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.55	1	0	1	13.7	13.4	0.35	17.1	15.8	1.25
Andre Iguodala	57	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	0	1	13.6	13.6	0.06	16.9	16.3	0.55
Harrison Barnes	65	65	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	-4	9	14.0	12.8	1.18	16.4	17.2	-0.76
Marreese Speights	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	2	-3	14.1	13.4	0.68	16.0	17.0	-0.94
Shaun Livingston	22	25	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.06	-7	8	-15	14.3	13.4	0.93	17.0	16.6	0.44
Leandro Barbosa	24	26	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.13	-6	7	-13	15.1	13.1	2.04	16.9	16.6	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.43,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.43,0.74,1	91.1%
TOR 90, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.26,1	90.0%
LAL 91, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.26,1	89.7%