inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 96 Excitement8.8 [135] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +47.2%
Denver Nuggets 98 Comeback6.6 [211] LVPShannon Brown (LAL): -15.5%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Metta World Peace0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.030.021179%0.204-0.10683%0.02
Jordan Farmar0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.060.00844%0.0600.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04-0.060.100.001133%0.0400.00875%0.07
Sasha Vujacic0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.05-0.021233%0.0200.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Powell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Luke Walton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,-0.03,-0.030.05-0.070.011758%0.193-0.221191%0.05
Lamar Odom-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.01631%-0.022-0.05475%0.00
Shannon Brown-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.15-0.02-0.15-0.021243%0.061-0.214100%0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.470.470.140.31-0.022061%0.491-0.021173%0.04
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.190.190.160.03-0.001965%0.1900.00250%-0.05
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.02-0.00753%0.031-0.031100%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Nene0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.02746%-0.032-0.021070%-0.08
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.021440%-0.013-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.83.736.219.728.33.637.2154.5
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +43.0%
LAL -35.4%
LAL -18.2%
DEN +52.4%
DEN +8.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game16.514.915.3104.3107.7106.0
season15.714.4107.9110.3
opponent15.515.1106.4103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.014.915.520.116.5
DEN14.613.917.214.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shannon Brown52530.33-0.831.160.0111-132415.617.7-2.1715.514.21.22
DJ Mbenga9100.02-0.520.540.020-2214.116.8-2.6714.115.0-0.95
Jordan Farmar2928-0.05-0.450.390.06-42-619.315.24.1214.115.3-1.21
Josh Powell2222-0.08-0.420.340.12-75-1218.915.83.1414.815.0-0.23
Luke Walton87-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-42-615.116.7-1.5314.415.0-0.56
Metta World Peace7474-0.16-0.340.18-0.398-101815.819.3-3.5015.213.71.52
Lamar Odom6666-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.553-5816.017.8-1.7914.815.2-0.35
Pau Gasol8381-0.520.02-0.54-0.46-20-216.814.12.6715.014.10.95
Derek Fisher6968-0.600.10-0.71-0.55-20-215.619.2-3.5415.014.80.22
Sasha Vujacic4846-0.840.34-1.19-0.46-1311-2418.014.93.0914.615.3-0.64

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nene66660.88-0.381.250.3817-153213.818.0-4.1616.815.81.00
Chauncey Billups75760.78-0.281.060.519-71614.815.7-0.9016.218.1-1.94
Anthony Carter16150.67-0.170.850.535-3812.515.5-2.9720.015.84.16
J.R. Smith62620.58-0.080.660.435-3814.715.4-0.6915.818.1-2.29
Carmelo Anthony79810.410.090.320.44-13-415.014.80.1316.417.5-1.16
Johan Petro36380.310.190.12-0.0412-102214.315.4-1.0616.916.30.64
Joey Graham770.130.37-0.240.014-2614.415.0-0.5612.316.9-4.58
Arron Afflalo3234-0.120.62-0.740.03-57-1215.714.51.1517.316.11.27
Ty Lawson1616-0.280.78-1.06-0.07-79-1615.714.80.9018.116.21.94
Malik Allen1818-0.300.80-1.110.02-1113-2418.314.14.2217.216.40.80
Chris Andersen4847-0.561.06-1.62-0.03-1820-3816.413.33.0315.717.3-1.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.43,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 97, GSW 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.43,0.59,191.1%
PHI 86, NOK 880.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.58,190.6%
SAC 89, MIN 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.16,0.03,0.07,0.32,0.58,190.0%