NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	4.3 [948]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +17.8%
Brooklyn Nets	84		Comeback	1.5 [748]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -11.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.03	0.01	12	70%	0.18	0	0.00	13	85%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	12	78%	0.22	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.07	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	52%	0.03	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	3	30%	-0.01	5	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Aaron Brooks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	11	48%	-0.02	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Gutierrez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.06
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	12	36%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	29%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	7	19%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.9	14.8	27.1	1.8	29.0	128.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.3%

CHI +14.1%

CHI +12.9%

BKN -14.3%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.0	15.1	103.0	85.7	104.2
season	15.5	15.3		105.4	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.8	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.1	13.9	13.3	15.9	14.2
BKN	15.9	15.5	13.4	15.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	80	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	0	18	13.9	15.6	-1.65	15.4	13.4	1.96
Joakim Noah	66	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	5	8	14.7	13.4	1.27	15.6	13.8	1.79
Mike Dunleavy	49	48	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	7	4	14.0	14.4	-0.40	15.3	14.7	0.61
Nikola Mirotic	56	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	2	14	14.0	14.5	-0.52	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Pau Gasol	70	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	7	4	13.9	15.1	-1.27	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Derrick Rose	55	53	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.15	14	4	10	14.6	13.8	0.76	15.0	15.0	-0.08
Kirk Hinrich	38	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	10	-2	13.5	14.7	-1.25	15.3	14.8	0.47
Aaron Brooks	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	11	-4	14.3	14.2	0.09	15.1	14.9	0.12
E'Twaun Moore	5	5	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	18	-18	15.8	14.2	1.64	11.4	15.2	-3.79
Tony Snell	13	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	20	-22	15.0	14.1	0.87	11.8	15.5	-3.64
Doug McDermott	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	20	-22	16.4	13.9	2.47	15.2	15.0	0.19
Nazr Mohammed	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	16.0	14.1	1.87	13.5	15.1	-1.60

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Jefferson	13	14	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-24	30	14.3	15.1	-0.80	16.1	13.9	2.13
Jorge Gutierrez	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	13.9	15.1	-1.23	17.5	14.0	3.54
Sergey Karasev	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	13.9	15.1	-1.23	17.5	14.0	3.54
Alan Anderson	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-18	18	16.9	14.5	2.40	14.5	14.2	0.33
Brook Lopez	46	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-11	4	15.3	14.7	0.61	14.2	14.3	-0.12
Kevin Garnett	50	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-12	6	14.9	15.1	-0.24	14.8	13.7	1.02
Mason Plumlee	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-13	8	16.1	14.4	1.64	13.6	14.5	-0.91
Jerome Jordan	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-14	10	13.2	15.7	-2.50	13.8	14.4	-0.59
Joe Johnson	60	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-5	-8	14.5	15.8	-1.38	14.1	14.4	-0.35
Jarrett Jack	57	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-3	-12	14.9	15.2	-0.29	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Mirza Teletovic	31	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-1	-16	15.5	14.8	0.66	13.8	14.5	-0.73
Bojan Bogdanovic	63	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	-3	-12	15.8	13.5	2.36	14.4	13.9	0.47
Deron Williams	72	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.14	-20	2	-22	14.5	16.5	-1.99	13.7	15.8	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, MEM 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
CHI 117, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MIN 105, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%