inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 91 Excitement4.0 [1025] MVPMatt Bonner (SAS): +16.2%
Memphis Grizzlies 80 Comeback1.4 [1087] LVPRudy Gay (MEM): -14.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bonner0.160,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.150.070.05989%0.1600.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.021171%0.143-0.08667%-0.00
Manu Ginobili0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.000.01-0.04954%0.083-0.04683%0.01
Bruce Bowen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.042150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.01-0.01-0.021553%0.042-0.02683%-0.00
George Hill0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.02267%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Kurt Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.03437%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Ime Udoka0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.01736%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.00-0.051113%-0.0900.001100%0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.031648%0.072-0.051100%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.03275%0.041-0.02887%0.00
Quinton Ross0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.04657%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.031443%0.013-0.0500%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.001345%-0.002-0.04743%-0.05
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.03-0.01729%-0.032-0.063100%0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.17-0.03-0.051335%-0.046-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.530.015.629.22.628.5134.4
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +30.6%
SAS +8.5%
SAS +0.3%
SAS +10.4%
SAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMEMNBASASMEMNBA
this game15.316.715.5102.287.9106.4
season16.416.1106.6101.7
opponent15.315.7107.6103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.715.615.015.915.3
MEM16.615.718.516.116.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bonner52570.470.030.440.0315-41914.616.2-1.6517.715.02.72
Tony Parker62640.390.110.290.071101115.115.7-0.5516.617.0-0.47
Manu Ginobili43410.350.150.19-0.1517-62314.216.3-2.0717.915.72.23
Tim Duncan59630.340.160.180.0892714.915.9-0.9816.816.50.35
Roger Mason Jr.54570.280.210.070.2038-515.215.4-0.2416.317.4-1.13
Michael Finley50540.260.240.01-0.0192715.215.4-0.2317.016.30.64
Kurt Thomas26250.160.34-0.17-0.0474315.615.20.4217.016.60.41
Anthony Tolliver30280.140.36-0.210.17-112-1316.514.71.8415.617.2-1.53
George Hill27270.110.39-0.290.11011-1115.715.10.5517.016.60.47
Bruce Bowen33310.000.50-0.500.15-516-2116.214.71.4315.417.4-2.05
Ime Udoka550.000.50-0.500.15-516-2120.415.05.4211.417.0-5.61
Fabricio Oberto43-0.000.50-0.500.14-516-2118.215.13.1112.016.9-4.86

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley3132-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-9718.415.82.6014.515.7-1.17
Greg Buckner2023-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-5-115.816.9-1.0915.815.10.68
Darrell Arthur2930-0.21-0.290.070.05-9-2-717.616.31.3513.716.1-2.38
Quinton Ross4948-0.24-0.260.02-0.240-111117.016.30.6914.516.2-1.70
Hakim Warrick6563-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.19-3-8516.317.6-1.2815.614.51.10
Marc Gasol6259-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.23-2-9716.317.6-1.3516.113.72.38
O.J. Mayo6966-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.20-3-8516.916.10.7515.714.21.43
Kyle Lowry6057-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.13-9-2-715.818.4-2.6015.714.51.17
Rudy Gay7067-0.49-0.01-0.490.12-2110-3116.916.10.7915.016.1-1.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 102, BKN 840.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
CHI 117, IND 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,095.7%
NOK 109, NYK 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,095.4%