inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 117 Excitement4.2 [925] MVPDuane Ferrell (IND): +13.9%
Indiana Pacers 98 Comeback1.2 [1127] LVPReggie Miller (IND): -18.1%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Kerr0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.180.010.076125%0.1200.0000%0.00
Luc Longley0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.020.02-0.051352%0.072-0.023100%0.01
Michael Jordan0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.022556%0.062-0.031493%0.02
Jud Buechler0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.002100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Bill Wennington0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01458%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Robert Parish0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.012100%0.041-0.033100%0.01
Jason Caffey-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.010.01858%0.011-0.013100%0.00
Ron Harper-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011100%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Dennis Rodman-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00250%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Randy Brown-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Scottie Pippen-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.010.041158%-0.033-0.05978%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Duane Ferrell0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.02-0.031164%0.1400.0000%0.00
Rik Smits0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.011756%0.0500.002100%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.031067%0.061-0.031100%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.02946%-0.0100.00683%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00650%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00743%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.0330%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.02360%-0.015-0.07450%-0.02
Reggie Miller0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.06-0.060.061745%-0.112-0.076100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.42.627.216.428.52.526.3131.8
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +18.5%
CHI +14.4%
CHI +18.3%
IND -0.4%
IND -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIINDNBACHIINDNBA
this game16.115.215.6125.8107.7104.4
season15.515.3110.5103.6
opponent16.316.1101.999.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI17.318.213.316.016.1
IND15.516.916.212.815.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Jordan77740.55-0.050.600.051721516.315.11.1515.613.62.01
Scottie Pippen74720.440.060.37-0.2423-42715.916.9-1.0315.613.91.61
Dennis Rodman66650.420.080.34-0.141901915.816.8-0.9915.614.31.33
Luc Longley46450.320.180.130.08811-318.813.45.3115.814.71.06
Ron Harper42420.250.250.00-0.10127515.716.4-0.6114.715.6-0.89
Bill Wennington22200.170.33-0.16-0.06811-316.515.90.5615.715.10.62
Randy Brown16160.130.37-0.240.04316-1315.416.2-0.8516.714.91.78
Jud Buechler23220.120.38-0.250.07217-1515.416.3-0.9113.415.8-2.39
Jason Caffey36350.080.42-0.340.02217-1515.716.3-0.6714.016.0-2.03
Steve Kerr50490.060.44-0.37-0.05415-1116.116.00.1014.416.1-1.71
Robert Parish1315-0.050.55-0.590.04-322-2511.516.8-5.3615.815.10.69

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fred Hoiberg2020-0.04-0.460.430.17-7-12513.915.6-1.6913.216.9-3.66
Duane Ferrell3940-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-151116.414.32.0819.113.85.26
Antonio Davis5252-0.17-0.330.16-0.14-1-181715.415.00.3816.615.51.09
Erick Dampier1416-0.18-0.320.150.26-15-4-1112.915.6-2.7112.116.9-4.85
Travis Best4546-0.25-0.250.000.07-11-8-314.216.2-2.0614.717.4-2.77
Rik Smits5960-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.08-7-12515.814.21.5917.313.83.55
Mark Jackson6364-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.17-4-151115.115.4-0.2516.814.52.26
Dale Davis5556-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-15-4-1115.514.80.6415.916.3-0.37
Jalen Rose3334-0.36-0.14-0.220.17-18-1-1714.715.5-0.7712.318.2-5.91
Reggie Miller7577-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.10-13-6-715.513.71.8616.812.64.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 111, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
SAS 91, MEM 800.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
CLE 94, ATL 820.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%