NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	4.0 [967]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +9.1%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.2 [542]		LVP	Hot Rod Williams (PHX): -8.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.01	-0.00	12	79%	0.18	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0.09	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	15	64%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	28	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	12	75%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Nembhard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	8	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rumeal Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	15	54%	0.03	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	10	59%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.02	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	23.6	15.4	25.3	1.8	28.2	119.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.8%

PHX -8.4%

PHX -3.3%

UTA +10.3%

UTA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	13.7	15.6	115.6	103.1	104.4
season	15.6	14.6		110.8	106.8
opponent	15.6	16.0		106.5	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.9	17.3	17.0	17.1	16.3
PHX	15.5	13.4	15.0	11.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	68	68	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-7	26	15.5	18.2	-2.76	13.9	13.4	0.50
Karl Malone	81	80	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.09	21	-9	30	16.2	16.9	-0.76	14.4	10.3	4.08
Jeff Hornacek	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	-14	40	15.7	17.9	-2.27	14.5	11.7	2.79
Greg Foster	28	28	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	-2	16	14.0	17.2	-3.29	16.6	12.5	4.04
John Stockton	75	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	7	-2	16.0	17.3	-1.27	14.0	12.6	1.46
Howard Eisley	21	21	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	5	2	17.3	16.0	1.27	12.6	14.0	-1.46
Stephen Howard	38	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	14	-16	17.9	15.3	2.61	12.5	14.5	-2.06
Adam Keefe	40	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	19	-26	17.6	15.3	2.29	12.3	14.7	-2.45
Ruben Nembhard	27	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.39	-14	26	-40	17.9	15.7	2.27	11.7	14.5	-2.79
Chris Morris	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	18	-24	16.8	16.2	0.62	11.3	14.0	-2.71
Antoine Carr	21	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	15	-18	16.8	16.2	0.60	13.2	13.9	-0.68

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rumeal Robinson	23	22	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.24	12	-24	36	12.5	14.1	-1.62	16.3	16.3	0.03
Wayman Tisdale	18	18	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-13	14	13.7	13.7	-0.05	17.6	16.0	1.56
Ben Davis	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-16	20	10.0	14.3	-4.34	16.6	16.2	0.33
Steve Nash	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-18	24	11.0	14.7	-3.66	17.1	16.0	1.13
Rex Chapman	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-8	4	12.8	14.8	-1.96	17.6	14.7	2.85
Danny Manning	34	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-9	6	12.2	14.5	-2.37	18.4	15.1	3.27
Mark Bryant	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	-2	-8	13.8	13.6	0.23	17.1	15.4	1.65
Loren Meyer	37	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-5	-2	14.8	13.0	1.79	15.2	17.0	-1.79
Wesley Person	54	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	0	-12	14.2	13.1	1.09	14.4	18.6	-4.15
Hot Rod Williams	39	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	2	-16	15.4	12.6	2.82	15.6	16.7	-1.05
Cedric Ceballos	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	6	-24	14.7	11.1	3.56	15.3	18.9	-3.56
Kevin Johnson	64	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	3	-18	14.3	12.4	1.91	16.3	16.2	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
CHI 117, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
NOK 109, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.6%