NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	100		Excitement	4.5 [939]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (MEM): +10.4%
Golden State Warriors	87		Comeback	1.0 [647]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -13.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	65%	0.10	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	82%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	6	68%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.04	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	17	45%	0.02	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.01	-0.07	7	41%	-0.01	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.02	0.08	15	79%	0.11	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.01	1	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	6	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.20	-0.02	-0.09	15	37%	-0.06	6	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.3	32.9	15.8	30.2	2.5	30.3	139.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.1%

MEM +21.0%

MEM +14.2%

GSW -12.3%

MEM +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	14.8	15.5	101.0	88.8	104.0
season	16.4	15.0		103.7	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		104.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.2	14.6	14.0	15.0	14.5
GSW	14.0	14.2	16.6	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	55	55	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.06	18	-5	23	15.2	13.5	1.70	15.5	13.9	1.55
Bonzi Wells	70	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-1	15	14.7	14.0	0.66	15.2	13.7	1.47
Jason Williams	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	4	5	13.7	15.6	-1.86	15.0	14.5	0.47
Shane Battier	47	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	2	9	15.3	13.7	1.59	15.0	14.5	0.49
Stromile Swift	65	64	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	6	1	13.8	15.6	-1.80	14.9	14.6	0.33
Brian Cardinal	48	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	11	-9	14.7	14.3	0.39	14.2	15.3	-1.03
Mike Miller	52	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	11	-9	13.7	15.3	-1.59	14.5	15.0	-0.49
Earl Watson	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	9	-5	15.6	13.7	1.86	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Jake Tsakalidis	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	14	-15	14.1	14.6	-0.52	14.1	15.1	-0.95
Dahntay Jones	29	26	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	14	-15	14.0	14.7	-0.66	13.7	15.2	-1.47

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ansu Sesay	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-13	13	14.9	14.7	0.14	15.0	14.3	0.66
Adonal Foyle	22	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-15	17	14.2	14.9	-0.77	15.0	14.3	0.63
Dale Davis	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-13	13	13.8	15.2	-1.43	15.6	13.9	1.67
Calbert Cheaney	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-13	13	13.7	15.3	-1.52	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Eduardo Najera	22	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-11	9	13.9	15.0	-1.12	14.4	14.5	-0.13
Mickael Pietrus	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-11	9	14.9	14.7	0.19	15.5	14.1	1.36
Derek Fisher	47	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-9	5	14.7	14.8	-0.10	15.1	13.9	1.24
Speedy Claxton	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	14.7	14.8	-0.10	13.8	15.3	-1.44
Clifford Robinson	41	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	2	-17	15.9	13.9	1.98	13.7	15.0	-1.34
Troy Murphy	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-4	-5	14.8	14.8	-0.00	14.3	14.9	-0.55
Mike Dunleavy	39	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	4	-21	16.0	14.0	2.03	13.8	14.9	-1.16
Jason Richardson	85	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	14.8	14.8	0.01	14.4	14.7	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
LAL 102, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
IND 105, TOR 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%