NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	3.4 [1105]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): +13.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	117		Comeback	1.4 [772]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (NYK): -4.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	17	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	110%	0.08	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.16	-0.00	0.12	14	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	6	78%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Travis Wear	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	12	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.04	0.07	14	72%	0.09	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.02	0.06	10	83%	0.13	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	10	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	64%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.03
Jabari Parker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	69%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	11	58%	0.06	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	68%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	-0.07	15	44%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	25.0	15.6	27.4	2.5	42.3	142.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.3%

MIL +9.9%

MIL +12.4%

MIL +4.9%

MIL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.1	125.6	127.2	104.2
season	16.1	14.5		98.5	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		101.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.5	18.0	14.4	14.9	15.9
MIL	16.2	15.6	15.0	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	11	12	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-8	12	18.5	15.5	2.94	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Tim Hardaway Jr.	52	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.63	18	-22	40	15.7	16.2	-0.48	15.8	15.7	0.04
Pablo Prigioni	39	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	2	-8	15.3	16.3	-0.96	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Travis Wear	20	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	5	-14	19.0	15.0	4.08	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Iman Shumpert	71	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-6	8	14.9	19.6	-4.69	15.7	16.0	-0.29
Amar'e Stoudemire	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.60	12	-16	28	14.5	17.4	-2.86	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Samuel Dalembert	32	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.27	-20	16	-36	17.0	15.3	1.74	16.0	15.7	0.30
Shane Larkin	40	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	4	-12	17.5	14.6	2.87	16.5	15.2	1.38
Carmelo Anthony	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-7	10	15.5	17.6	-2.11	15.5	17.1	-1.60
J.R. Smith	65	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.09	-16	12	-28	15.9	15.7	0.22	16.1	15.1	0.96

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	66	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-11	26	15.5	16.6	-1.12	16.1	15.2	0.94
Khris Middleton	62	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-6	16	16.2	14.9	1.24	15.2	17.3	-2.16
Jerryd Bayless	38	36	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-8	20	14.9	16.4	-1.54	16.9	15.2	1.78
Jabari Parker	43	45	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-10	24	16.9	14.8	2.13	16.5	15.2	1.31
Brandon Knight	64	64	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	3	-2	15.3	16.8	-1.51	15.5	16.8	-1.36
O.J. Mayo	45	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.21	-1	5	-6	15.5	16.1	-0.60	16.5	15.3	1.21
Ersan Ilyasova	40	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	10	-16	15.5	16.0	-0.53	16.1	15.7	0.44
Giannis Antetokounmpo	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.34	-11	15	-26	16.0	15.6	0.41	14.9	16.5	-1.62
Jared Dudley	42	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.14	-5	9	-14	15.6	15.9	-0.32	15.8	15.9	-0.10
John Henson	25	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.20	-9	13	-22	17.2	15.3	1.91	15.2	16.1	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	96.9%
DET 100, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIL 88, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%