NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	3.9 [1069]		MVP	Tiago Splitter (ATL): +6.8%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	1.5 [968]		LVP	Steve Blake (DET): -5.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Darrun Hilliard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.11	0.00	0.13	16	63%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	13	57%	-0.01	2	-0.01	18	39%	-0.11
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	16	51%	0.04	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	31%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	7	61%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	54%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.08	12	50%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	6	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	19	53%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	31.4	16.4	26.5	2.3	33.5	138.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +42.0%

ATL +2.9%

DET -1.0%

ATL +2.7%

ATL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.1	14.9	101.0	107.0	105.1
season	15.0	14.2		104.9	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.1		100.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.1	14.0	13.3	13.1	13.9
ATL	13.7	13.7	16.7	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrun Hilliard	9	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	13.2	14.0	-0.73	16.2	14.9	1.28
Stanley Johnson	56	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-9	11	13.3	14.7	-1.43	14.1	16.3	-2.22
Reggie Jackson	65	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-11	15	13.8	14.1	-0.30	16.8	11.7	5.02
Aron Baynes	26	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	1	-9	16.0	13.2	2.81	11.7	16.1	-4.40
Ersan Ilyasova	66	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-11	15	14.2	13.3	0.83	15.8	13.6	2.16
Anthony Tolliver	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	4	-15	13.3	14.2	-0.83	13.6	15.8	-2.16
Andre Drummond	73	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-8	9	13.2	16.0	-2.81	16.1	11.7	4.40
Steve Blake	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	4	-15	14.1	13.8	0.30	11.7	16.8	-5.02
Marcus Morris	76	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-7	7	14.5	11.8	2.74	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	57	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	8	-23	13.8	14.1	-0.32	15.9	14.0	1.83

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	65	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	0	7	15.6	14.0	1.66	14.1	13.5	0.65
Kent Bazemore	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	-2	11	14.0	16.9	-2.87	13.7	14.2	-0.44
Paul Millsap	64	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	4	-1	16.3	12.8	3.51	13.9	13.8	0.08
Kyle Korver	58	59	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.08	13	-6	19	14.3	16.1	-1.76	14.6	12.8	1.83
Thabo Sefolosha	49	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	10	-13	16.3	13.8	2.50	14.2	13.6	0.53
Al Horford	64	63	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.27	-1	8	-9	14.2	16.6	-2.35	14.7	12.6	2.10
Tiago Splitter	39	40	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	3	1	16.6	14.1	2.52	13.2	14.3	-1.11
Mike Scott	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	1	5	12.8	16.1	-3.29	13.2	14.2	-1.04
Lamar Patterson	21	23	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	4	-1	14.0	15.3	-1.27	12.7	14.2	-1.55
Dennis Schroder	43	43	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	13	-19	15.4	14.8	0.57	13.1	14.5	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, NOH 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	96.7%
UTA 84, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DET 89, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	96.5%