NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	89		Excitement	3.7 [1090]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +6.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	91		Comeback	1.2 [1032]		LVP	Elden Campbell (DET): -8.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	27%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.03	0.08	12	73%	0.05	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	9	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.05	14	59%	0.10	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	9	55%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.04	17	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.07	4	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	41%	-0.05	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.4	30.5	16.3	24.4	2.3	45.4	143.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +24.5%

CHA +1.5%

CHA +19.3%

CHA +8.2%

DET -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	17.1	15.5	101.1	102.2	104.0
season	16.7	15.5		103.5	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.9		105.4	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.7	16.0	18.9	12.8	15.5
CHA	19.6	16.0	15.5	17.2	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	46	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-7	12	15.1	15.9	-0.75	18.7	15.4	3.37
Darko Milicic	1	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	0	-2	19.0	15.4	3.57	8.5	17.3	-8.76
Elden Campbell	20	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-7	12	17.8	14.8	3.02	18.6	16.6	2.08
Richard Hamilton	54	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.49	11	-13	24	14.9	16.3	-1.35	17.5	16.4	1.16
Derrick Coleman	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	6	-14	17.0	14.8	2.20	15.7	17.6	-1.89
Darvin Ham	22	22	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	5	-12	14.8	15.7	-0.92	15.0	17.8	-2.81
Smush Parker	24	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	7	-16	15.9	15.3	0.62	13.3	18.5	-5.21
Chauncey Billups	69	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.51	7	-9	16	15.0	17.1	-2.09	17.8	14.3	3.57
Tayshaun Prince	74	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-5	8	14.8	19.1	-4.29	17.7	14.2	3.51
Lindsey Hunter	36	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	8	-18	16.0	15.1	0.86	14.3	19.0	-4.74
Antonio McDyess	69	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	3	-8	15.8	14.3	1.53	18.0	14.1	3.83

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	77	77	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-7	16	16.5	20.7	-4.16	15.7	13.8	1.88
Gerald Wallace	68	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	17.9	14.3	3.58	15.7	14.6	1.11
Emeka Okafor	61	62	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-6	14	16.4	18.5	-2.09	15.8	14.7	1.04
Primoz Brezec	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	-2	6	17.8	15.6	2.23	16.2	14.1	2.02
Keith Bogans	50	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	5	-8	16.5	17.8	-1.39	15.4	15.6	-0.25
Eddie House	25	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	-6	14	14.6	18.0	-3.43	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Jamal Sampson	30	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	2	-2	19.1	16.0	3.07	15.9	15.2	0.69
Jason Kapono	29	28	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	4	-6	15.3	17.9	-2.66	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Steven Smith	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	0	2	0.0	17.3	-17.26	5.0	15.6	-10.59
Melvin Ely	22	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	5	-8	19.5	16.3	3.23	14.8	15.7	-0.86
Jason Hart	24	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.41	-15	17	-32	18.2	16.6	1.56	14.2	15.9	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 113, MIL 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.98,1	96.9%
DET 100, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIL 88, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%