NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	5.1 [788]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (DAL): +23.6%
Dallas Mavericks	118		Comeback	1.2 [1170]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -18.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12	0.15	0.06	0.10	22	68%	0.18	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.06
Marcus Smart	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04	0.16	-0.03	0.09	28	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	15	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.05	-0.04	11	29%	-0.10	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.24	0.04	0.05	15	78%	0.24	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.08	0.07	14	79%	0.23	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.18	0.18	-0.07	0.18	-0.07	15	44%	0.22	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	86%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	71%	0.04	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	26.2	17.6	28.5	2.5	40.2	142.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +56.0%

DAL +9.0%

BOS -8.6%

BOS -2.8%

BOS -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	13.4	15.1	15.1	110.8	118.0	104.2
season	14.3	14.6		103.1	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	14.4	12.2	12.2	13.4
DAL	11.9	16.3	15.0	17.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	48	48	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-18	31	12.6	14.1	-1.54	15.5	14.8	0.71
Gerald Wallace	8	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-9	13	9.0	13.8	-4.80	17.7	14.9	2.72
Jeff Green	83	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.41	8	-13	21	12.8	16.1	-3.23	15.1	15.1	0.07
Brandon Bass	18	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	6	-17	16.3	12.8	3.54	13.3	15.5	-2.23
Jared Sullinger	70	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-9	13	13.1	14.1	-0.93	15.2	15.0	0.16
Marcus Thornton	26	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	2	-9	14.2	13.2	0.98	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Avery Bradley	76	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-8	11	13.2	14.2	-0.98	15.3	14.6	0.71
Tyler Zeller	16	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	8	-21	16.3	12.9	3.43	13.6	15.4	-1.84
Marcus Smart	53	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	5	-15	13.5	13.4	0.10	15.5	14.7	0.78
Rajon Rondo	78	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-2	-1	13.3	13.7	-0.32	15.2	14.7	0.55
Evan Turner	34	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	8	-21	14.9	12.7	2.19	15.3	15.0	0.28

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	59	60	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	-8	21	15.6	14.4	1.14	13.8	12.9	0.96
Chandler Parsons	74	77	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.32	2	3	-1	14.6	16.5	-1.88	12.9	15.0	-2.04
Monta Ellis	75	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	5	-5	14.5	17.1	-2.63	12.8	15.1	-2.27
Brandan Wright	35	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-7	19	15.0	15.2	-0.13	13.6	13.3	0.31
Dirk Nowitzki	60	65	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	7	-9	15.2	14.9	0.27	13.1	13.9	-0.82
Al-Farouq Aminu	19	20	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	-6	17	13.9	15.4	-1.44	16.6	12.6	4.02
Tyson Chandler	65	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.39	-7	12	-19	15.2	15.0	0.13	13.3	13.6	-0.31
Jose Juan Barea	25	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	0	5	17.1	14.5	2.63	15.1	12.8	2.27
Jameer Nelson	52	51	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	6	-7	14.1	16.2	-2.11	12.9	13.9	-0.96
Richard Jefferson	31	28	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	10	-15	16.7	14.4	2.32	13.8	13.3	0.50
Jae Crowder	5	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	8	-11	20.6	14.8	5.78	10.2	13.6	-3.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.84,1,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 104, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.91,1	95.2%
MIL 108, LAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1	94.9%
MIL 113, DEN 120	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.85,0.96,1,1	94.6%