NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	108		Excitement	3.2 [1181]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +18.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	116		Comeback	1.0 [1267]		LVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): -9.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	9	80%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	72%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reece Gaines	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	0.00	0.02	27	47%	-0.07	2	-0.03	12	83%	0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	42%	-0.08	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.03	0.02	15	81%	0.21	2	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	16	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	10	80%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	62%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.2	32.5	14.8	29.6	2.7	40.6	146.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +61.6%

MIL -7.8%

MIL -1.1%

MIL -3.3%

LAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	16.9	14.8	15.5	118.7	127.5	104.0
season	16.0	16.0		104.4	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.0		103.8	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.5	15.6	19.9	14.9	16.9
LAC	13.1	15.7	13.8	16.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reece Gaines	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.18	7	-15	22	16.0	17.0	-0.98	18.6	14.4	4.24
Calvin Booth	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-7	6	16.3	16.9	-0.65	13.4	14.9	-1.44
Marcus Fizer	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-1	-6	17.9	16.7	1.16	14.9	14.7	0.17
Toni Kukoc	48	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-7	6	15.5	18.4	-2.85	14.8	14.7	0.07
Zaza Pachulia	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-8	8	18.1	16.3	1.85	16.2	14.0	2.20
Erick Strickland	28	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	0	-8	17.8	16.5	1.35	14.8	14.7	0.06
Anthony Goldwire	63	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-8	8	16.5	17.8	-1.35	14.7	14.8	-0.06
Joe Smith	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.34	2	-10	12	16.4	18.0	-1.55	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Dan Gadzuric	40	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	8	-24	18.2	15.8	2.38	13.6	15.6	-2.02
Desmond Mason	74	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	16.7	17.6	-0.86	14.4	16.3	-1.90
Michael Redd	83	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	2	-12	17.1	14.9	2.21	14.8	13.7	1.17

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-2	12	14.4	15.9	-1.43	17.1	16.4	0.69
Elton Brand	71	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	3	2	15.3	12.9	2.38	16.8	17.3	-0.58
Rick Brunson	35	34	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-6	20	14.0	15.2	-1.19	17.1	16.8	0.32
Marko Jaric	46	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	0	8	14.9	14.6	0.23	17.2	16.6	0.61
Zeljko Rebraca	33	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-2	12	14.1	15.1	-1.00	17.7	16.4	1.35
Chris Kaman	57	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	5	-2	15.1	14.1	0.98	17.1	16.4	0.70
Shaun Livingston	48	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	8	-8	14.7	14.8	-0.06	16.9	16.9	0.06
Bobby Simmons	42	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	14	-20	15.5	14.2	1.29	15.6	18.0	-2.42
Quinton Ross	46	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	17	-26	14.9	14.6	0.36	16.2	17.7	-1.53
Mikki Moore	7	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.07	5	3	2	10.6	15.1	-4.54	20.0	16.6	3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NYK 92, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
TOR 84, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%