NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	106		Excitement	10.8 [43]		MVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): +111.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	4.8 [257]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -25.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.82	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.05,0.09,0.82	0.09	0.75	0.02	12	62%	0.87	2	-0.05	15	73%	0.26
Mike Dunleavy	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.09	0.18	0.01	8	62%	0.26	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Pau Gasol	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.2,0.12	-0.00	0.12	-0.01	12	61%	0.27	5	-0.15	9	67%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	11	70%	0.14	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.47,1.11	1.11	0.29	0.85	0.02	14	85%	1.11	0	0.00	11	100%	0.09
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	7	80%	0.19	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.06
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	4	77%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.07	0.02	14	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	0.01	10	30%	-0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	7	19%	-0.18	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.16	-0.00	10	36%	-0.08	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	29.2	15.5	29.8	2.6	39.5	144.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -34.7%

CHI +109.4%

MIN -4.4%

MIN -24.6%

CHI +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	15.1	110.4	108.2	104.2
season	15.5	15.0		105.4	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		110.5	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.1	12.9	16.1	15.2	15.1
MIN	15.2	15.9	13.3	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	68	69	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.99	2	-1	3	15.5	14.1	1.38	15.0	14.2	0.81
Joakim Noah	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	-1	3	15.4	14.4	1.00	14.1	16.3	-2.13
Kirk Hinrich	55	56	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	1	-1	15.6	14.3	1.24	14.8	14.8	0.02
Nikola Mirotic	56	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-7	15	14.4	16.0	-1.58	15.6	13.8	1.80
Jimmy Butler	78	79	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.51	-7	8	-15	15.3	13.9	1.43	14.7	15.2	-0.46
Pau Gasol	70	71	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.47	-8	9	-17	15.3	14.4	0.86	14.8	14.7	0.09
Doug McDermott	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	-5	11	14.4	15.3	-0.85	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Aaron Brooks	47	47	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	-1	3	14.4	15.6	-1.19	14.6	15.0	-0.38
E'Twaun Moore	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	1	-1	0.0	15.1	-15.05	17.0	14.8	2.23
Tony Snell	16	15	-0.57	1.07	-1.65	-0.57	0	1	-1	12.9	15.5	-2.54	15.1	14.7	0.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	63	64	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.20	1	-2	3	14.6	15.1	-0.45	15.3	14.5	0.83
Ricky Rubio	62	63	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-5	9	14.7	15.0	-0.37	15.5	14.2	1.23
Mo Williams	41	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	3	-7	14.9	14.7	0.10	13.9	15.8	-1.92
Chase Budinger	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-1	1	13.7	14.9	-1.22	17.1	14.8	2.29
Andrew Wiggins	62	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-4	7	14.6	15.1	-0.46	15.5	14.3	1.21
Robbie Hummel	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-2	3	15.0	14.7	0.26	16.1	14.8	1.34
Shabazz Muhammad	12	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	3	-7	16.5	14.6	1.95	12.1	15.4	-3.34
Anthony Bennett	42	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-7	13	14.7	14.9	-0.18	13.8	16.0	-2.26
Thaddeus Young	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	7	-15	15.2	14.6	0.68	16.0	14.5	1.42
Kevin Martin	70	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-3	5	14.7	14.9	-0.18	15.4	14.1	1.26
Gorgui Dieng	34	32	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.67	-2	1	-3	15.1	14.6	0.45	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Corey Brewer	35	34	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.82	-4	3	-7	14.7	14.9	-0.21	14.4	15.4	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.3,0.21,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 97, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.26,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.34,0.27,0	91.4%
IND 100, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.42,0	90.9%
PHX 98, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.55,0.72,0.57,0.26,0	90.8%