NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	5.0 [813]		MVP	Damjan Rudez (IND): +11.7%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	5.5 [427]		LVP	Luis Scola (IND): -12.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	14	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	16	57%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	42%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	19	41%	0.04	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	4	110%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.03	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	29.5	16.6	27.0	1.8	29.0	132.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +17.5%

MEM +6.1%

IND -1.8%

MEM +26.1%

MEM +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	IND	NBA	MEM	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	16.7	15.1	107.8	100.0	104.2
season	15.9	16.0		103.8	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.2		102.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	15.0	13.4	18.8	15.4
IND	19.4	15.6	16.6	15.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	63	63	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.14	21	-13	34	15.2	16.0	-0.74	16.1	18.3	-2.27
Tony Allen	61	59	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.15	18	-10	28	15.3	15.8	-0.51	16.1	18.0	-1.85
Tayshaun Prince	35	35	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-7	22	15.2	15.6	-0.45	15.2	17.7	-2.54
Mike Conley	65	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-3	14	15.0	16.5	-1.43	16.2	18.1	-1.89
Marc Gasol	62	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	6	-4	15.0	16.3	-1.27	16.7	16.9	-0.22
Beno Udrih	29	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	6	-4	15.7	15.3	0.31	18.0	16.1	1.90
Kosta Koufos	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	8	-8	16.3	14.8	1.51	17.0	16.5	0.57
Courtney Lee	30	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	8	-8	14.7	15.8	-1.12	17.3	16.5	0.84
Jon Leuer	14	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	13	-18	15.8	15.4	0.40	19.3	16.3	3.01
Quincy Pondexter	39	40	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	19	-30	16.5	14.6	1.84	18.3	15.5	2.79
Vince Carter	11	10	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.08	-13	21	-34	17.4	15.2	2.19	17.7	16.6	1.08

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	35	37	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.16	14	-22	36	15.4	17.6	-2.26	16.9	14.4	2.55
Rodney Stuckey	23	24	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.14	9	-17	26	17.5	16.5	1.05	16.4	15.1	1.33
Lavoy Allen	49	47	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.13	8	-16	24	16.7	16.8	-0.11	15.6	15.3	0.36
Ian Mahinmi	37	36	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	18.6	15.4	3.17	16.2	14.9	1.34
Chris Copeland	55	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-17	26	17.3	15.8	1.49	16.1	14.4	1.61
Solomon Hill	34	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	9	-26	15.8	17.3	-1.49	14.4	16.1	-1.61
Roy Hibbert	52	54	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	4	-16	15.4	18.6	-3.17	14.9	16.2	-1.34
Donald Sloan	66	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	7	-22	16.5	17.5	-1.05	14.9	17.1	-2.21
Luis Scola	35	36	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.02	-23	15	-38	18.0	15.9	2.12	14.3	16.2	-1.90
CJ Miles	59	59	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.26	-17	9	-26	16.8	16.6	0.26	15.3	15.7	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 116, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%
LAL 92, DET 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.44,0.31,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.9%
DET 103, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.8%