NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	103		Excitement	4.6 [916]		MVP	Beno Udrih (MIL): +10.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	87		Comeback	3.9 [136]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -13.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.01	16	57%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Greg Monroe	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	19	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.03
Charlie Villanueva	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Kyle Singler	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	77%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Andre Drummond	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kim English	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	10%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	12	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	0.05	7	41%	-0.05	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	10	71%	0.13	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	40%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	33%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	43%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	13	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	14	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	27.1	15.7	24.0	1.8	27.0	121.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.2%

DET +4.8%

DET +9.7%

MIL -2.3%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIL	NBA	DET	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.8	15.4	108.4	90.6	104.1
season	15.7	14.7		102.3	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.9	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.3	16.5	13.9	14.8	15.3
MIL	15.7	13.5	18.9	11.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	64	64	0.78	-0.28	1.07	-0.04	28	-12	40	15.6	14.8	0.76	16.5	11.5	5.02
Greg Monroe	65	65	0.78	-0.28	1.07	-0.24	35	-19	54	15.3	15.5	-0.22	16.7	10.9	5.82
Tayshaun Prince	52	52	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.03	20	-4	24	15.5	15.1	0.38	16.3	13.0	3.30
Kyle Singler	45	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	2	12	15.8	15.0	0.78	15.8	14.0	1.77
Jason Maxiell	52	50	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	2	12	15.9	14.7	1.27	15.9	13.7	2.19
Rodney Stuckey	43	46	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.20	7	9	-2	15.2	15.4	-0.21	15.2	14.5	0.65
Kim English	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	13.4	15.5	-2.07	6.6	15.5	-8.89
Charlie Villanueva	36	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	23	-30	14.9	15.6	-0.74	12.7	16.2	-3.48
Austin Daye	43	44	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	20	-24	15.1	15.5	-0.38	13.0	16.3	-3.30
Andre Drummond	37	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	26	-36	15.1	15.5	-0.39	12.3	16.4	-4.09
Will Bynum	31	32	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.07	-12	28	-40	14.8	15.6	-0.76	11.5	16.5	-5.02

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	9.6	15.6	-5.98	14.2	15.5	-1.38
Samuel Dalembert	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-18	20	12.0	15.8	-3.80	14.1	15.9	-1.78
Drew Gooden	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-14	12	11.9	16.0	-4.07	14.8	15.6	-0.80
Marquis Daniels	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-14	12	13.6	15.3	-1.70	15.3	15.4	-0.05
John Henson	24	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.21	-11	-5	-6	16.3	14.3	2.03	14.7	15.5	-0.87
Beno Udrih	57	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-8	0	14.6	15.1	-0.45	14.5	16.5	-1.96
Mike Dunleavy	43	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-12	8	15.0	14.6	0.42	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Larry Sanders	34	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-13	10	15.2	14.6	0.61	17.1	14.3	2.80
Ekpe Udoh	31	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-8	0	16.4	14.1	2.33	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Luc Mbah a Moute	41	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-5	-6	16.1	13.9	2.24	16.2	14.7	1.47
Monta Ellis	52	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-6	-4	15.9	13.5	2.34	15.6	15.0	0.59
Ersan Ilyasova	50	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-6	-4	15.9	13.7	2.19	15.8	14.8	1.03
Brandon Jennings	56	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-4	-8	14.6	15.1	-0.54	15.9	14.5	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 113, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
PHI 110, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
IND 116, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%