NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	110		Excitement	4.9 [813]		MVP	Monty Williams (PHI): +7.8%
Chicago Bulls	82		Comeback	3.1 [473]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -14.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monty Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	11	74%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.03	0.03	16	61%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	42%	-0.04	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	8	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	24	51%	-0.04	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Eric Snow	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	10	42%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	59%	0.05	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.01
Jay Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.17	-0.01	-0.11	13	34%	-0.03	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	46%	0.00	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.04	7	53%	-0.05	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	9	11%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.05	-0.06	20	43%	0.00	6	-0.15	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.8	33.2	15.6	29.0	1.8	27.5	134.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.4%

CHI -7.2%

PHI +5.4%

PHI +27.5%

CHI -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	13.6	14.9	15.5	108.9	81.2	101.6
season	15.3	15.0		102.1	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.3	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	13.0	12.5	14.4	13.6
CHI	14.5	14.2	17.5	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	65	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.43	33	-5	38	13.3	14.1	-0.88	16.0	13.0	2.93
Eric Snow	78	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.34	29	-1	30	13.1	15.1	-1.96	15.1	14.5	0.51
Allen Iverson	85	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	6	16	13.3	14.8	-1.47	15.3	13.2	2.01
Kenny Thomas	87	84	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.00	17	11	6	13.3	15.5	-2.24	15.0	14.6	0.35
Derrick Coleman	50	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.27	21	7	14	14.6	12.6	2.03	15.0	14.9	0.09
Monty Williams	31	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	17	-6	12.8	13.9	-1.11	13.6	15.6	-1.97
John Salmons	14	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	30	-32	12.1	13.8	-1.74	11.8	15.4	-3.64
Greg Buckner	32	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.26	10	18	-8	14.4	13.2	1.17	15.0	14.9	0.04
Kenny Satterfield	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	31	-34	15.7	13.4	2.36	11.6	15.2	-3.60
Aaron McKie	34	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.38	9	19	-10	13.8	13.5	0.33	16.6	14.1	2.53
Efthimios Rentzias	21	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	35	-42	15.7	13.0	2.70	12.1	15.6	-3.54

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	8	8	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-32	36	17.4	14.7	2.64	11.0	13.8	-2.80
Trenton Hassell	46	46	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	-26	24	15.3	14.6	0.75	13.8	13.4	0.42
Rick Brunson	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.20	-7	-21	14	12.5	15.3	-2.83	14.9	13.4	1.49
Lonny Baxter	34	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-32	36	15.1	14.9	0.18	14.6	13.1	1.53
Jay Williams	54	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.20	-11	-17	6	13.9	16.1	-2.18	14.1	12.9	1.23
Eddy Curry	50	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.30	-15	-13	-2	14.9	15.0	-0.04	14.1	13.1	0.99
Jamal Crawford	59	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	-9	-10	15.5	14.2	1.24	13.4	13.8	-0.46
Donyell Marshall	44	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	-13	-2	14.7	15.1	-0.34	13.0	14.0	-0.96
Tyson Chandler	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.44	-30	2	-32	15.0	14.7	0.27	13.1	14.9	-1.79
Eddie Robinson	39	39	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	-11	-6	15.3	14.7	0.51	13.3	13.7	-0.39
Jalen Rose	83	84	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.29	-32	4	-36	15.0	14.5	0.54	13.4	14.6	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, MIN 78	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
DAL 104, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
MIN 120, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%