NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	90		Excitement	8.5 [179]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (LAC): +11.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	2.1 [1112]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (OKC): -32.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.00	13	63%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Perry Jones	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.00	17	71%	0.24	5	-0.18	11	82%	0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Andre Roberson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.08	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	3	-0.29	2	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.33	-0.05	-0.28	-0.00	9	42%	-0.13	2	-0.19	8	75%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	18	50%	0.13	3	-0.10	10	70%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0	0.00	0.06	-0.06	-0.00	18	51%	0.00	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.22
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	15	47%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	10	23%	-0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	3.4	34.0	16.8	31.2	3.4	48.3	167.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +1.8%

OKC -29.2%

OKC -3.6%

LAC +77.0%

LAC +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.2	15.1	92.8	96.9	104.2
season	14.5	14.6		105.7	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	17.4	15.8	14.0	15.6	15.6
LAC	16.1	12.5	13.7	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	20	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	0	-3	13.7	16.1	-2.43	14.1	14.2	-0.14
Steven Adams	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-6	9	16.7	14.2	2.44	14.5	13.9	0.62
Serge Ibaka	65	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-5	7	16.5	13.8	2.76	14.2	14.2	-0.05
Kendrick Perkins	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	3	-9	14.2	16.7	-2.44	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Nick Collison	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	2	-7	13.1	17.0	-3.96	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Sebastian Telfair	72	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-6	9	16.5	13.2	3.27	14.6	13.0	1.69
Perry Jones	82	81	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-6	9	16.1	12.9	3.19	14.2	14.3	-0.07
Andre Roberson	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.43	2	-5	7	14.8	18.8	-4.06	14.2	14.2	0.06
Lance Thomas	39	38	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	13	-29	16.1	15.3	0.71	13.4	14.7	-1.26

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	53	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-1	5	13.8	14.8	-1.01	16.6	14.5	2.11
Jamal Crawford	60	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-5	13	13.8	14.8	-1.00	13.9	18.3	-4.37
Chris Paul	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	3	-3	14.2	14.1	0.16	16.4	13.3	3.10
DeAndre Jordan	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	-1	5	13.6	16.4	-2.86	15.1	17.4	-2.30
Spencer Hawes	38	37	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	-2	7	14.2	14.2	-0.04	15.2	15.9	-0.71
Blake Griffin	73	75	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.37	-5	8	-13	14.5	13.4	1.07	16.7	12.0	4.63
Jordan Farmar	23	23	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	0	3	14.1	14.2	-0.16	13.3	16.4	-3.10
Chris Douglas-Roberts	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	0	3	13.9	14.3	-0.50	12.7	16.8	-4.15
Ekpe Udoh	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	3	-3	21.3	13.7	7.60	14.0	15.7	-1.74
JJ Redick	53	55	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.10	-7	10	-17	15.0	13.2	1.85	17.8	12.8	5.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.83,0.75,0.93,0.9,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.84,1	92.5%
LAL 102, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.81,0.93,0.89,0.72,1	92.3%
UTA 90, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.98,1	92.1%