inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 108 Excitement3.8 [1051] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +21.1%
Los Angeles Lakers 90 Comeback1.0 [1123] LVPJeremy Lin (LAL): -7.5%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.210,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.190.02-0.001764%0.2100.001694%0.05
Trevor Ariza0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.010.001076%0.142-0.031100%0.00
Jason Terry0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.01-0.02580%0.091-0.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0.030,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.02-0.03550%0.051-0.021644%-0.05
Tarik Black0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02067%0.0020.00667%-0.01
Troy Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06517%0.0000.002100%0.00
Isaiah Canaan0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02150%0.0010.002100%0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.04633%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.021648%0.012-0.0310%-0.00
Patrick Beverley-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.000.05650%-0.042-0.04650%-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.031359%0.0600.003100%0.01
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.010.03769%0.0300.00250%-0.00
Wesley Johnson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01750%0.0100.0000%0.00
Robert Sacre0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04520%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02457%-0.011-0.00683%-0.01
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.04739%-0.012-0.004100%0.02
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.011745%0.011-0.02887%0.03
Julius Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03325%-0.0210.0020%-0.03
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.02425%-0.0300.00475%0.00
Jordan Hill0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01739%-0.012-0.04475%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01544%0.004-0.08683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.13.432.517.335.12.845.3166.5
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +43.0%
HOU +0.7%
HOU +3.8%
HOU +2.1%
HOU +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOULALNBAHOULALNBA
this game14.915.415.1114.993.8104.2
season14.315.5105.6101.9
opponent14.714.9108.9103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.416.915.114.214.9
LAL17.214.415.514.615.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Terry41430.51-0.010.51-0.2827-93614.715.1-0.4214.815.9-1.05
James Harden59620.400.100.290.04126614.715.2-0.4415.814.80.96
Tarik Black46460.380.120.260.26414-1014.615.2-0.6015.515.40.12
Kostas Papanikolaou38400.290.210.09-0.03117415.114.70.4015.815.20.61
Terrence Jones60630.260.240.01-0.151441014.815.1-0.2615.315.6-0.33
Trevor Ariza58590.250.25-0.01-0.08117414.815.0-0.2215.415.40.02
Dwight Howard41430.240.26-0.03-0.3520-22214.715.1-0.4215.915.00.89
Patrick Beverley61610.210.29-0.08-0.261621415.513.81.6115.715.00.70
Troy Daniels18180.000.50-0.500.21-725-3214.415.0-0.6214.615.6-1.06
Isaiah Canaan15140.000.50-0.500.23-826-3414.015.1-1.0614.615.5-0.91
Donatas Motiejunas3331-0.020.52-0.540.27-1028-3815.914.41.5214.915.7-0.81

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Sacre14150.00-0.500.50-0.238-263414.615.5-0.9114.015.1-1.06
Wesley Johnson4747-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-161414.616.2-1.5214.615.2-0.60
Carlos Boozer5655-0.19-0.310.130.02-7-11415.215.8-0.6114.615.3-0.75
Jordan Hill4847-0.21-0.290.08-0.04-6-12615.015.9-0.8714.515.3-0.81
Xavier Henry3736-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-6-12615.415.4-0.0615.114.80.31
Jordan Clarkson4240-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-4-141015.515.30.1914.914.90.10
Kobe Bryant5857-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-7-415.115.8-0.7014.815.0-0.22
Ed Davis4139-0.29-0.21-0.080.18-16-2-1416.914.32.5115.814.31.50
Julius Randle2525-0.29-0.21-0.080.24-180-1817.014.82.1916.014.51.56
Jeremy Lin5958-0.32-0.18-0.140.18-17-1-1614.816.4-1.5214.615.4-0.76
Ronnie Price5351-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.01-11-7-416.014.71.3015.214.60.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 121, ATL 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
ATL 110, UTA 870.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
DAL 106, MIN 860.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%