NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	121		Excitement	3.1 [1167]		MVP	Zach Randolph (LAC): +19.4%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.0 [352]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -3.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.03	-0.01	18	66%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	22	63%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.02	7	84%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	7	86%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	3	86%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	10	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	15	41%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.01	11	61%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	59%	0.08	3	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	52%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.09	5	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	6	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	38%	-0.00	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.5	2.7	29.3	16.0	26.0	2.6	26.5	134.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.1%

ATL -3.8%

LAC +11.2%

LAC +13.1%

LAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.5	131.5	106.6	106.4
season	15.7	15.8		100.7	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.1		106.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	15.3	20.6	14.9	16.5
ATL	15.3	14.7	15.4	14.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.16	21	3	18	17.1	14.9	2.21	15.5	13.4	2.15
Marcus Camby	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	11	2	17.3	15.3	2.02	14.8	15.2	-0.44
Zach Randolph	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.23	20	4	16	17.4	14.1	3.34	15.2	14.2	1.04
Ricky Davis	48	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.33	23	1	22	16.2	16.9	-0.72	15.1	14.8	0.27
Fred Jones	42	41	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.28	20	4	16	15.9	17.0	-1.12	15.0	14.9	0.17
Eric Gordon	63	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	19	-14	16.6	16.4	0.14	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Baron Davis	50	50	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	20	-16	17.0	15.9	1.12	14.9	15.0	-0.17
Steve Novak	36	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.17	11	13	-2	15.1	17.4	-2.35	15.2	14.8	0.44
DeAndre Jordan	24	25	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	20	-16	14.3	17.3	-3.00	14.2	15.2	-1.04
Jason Hart	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	12.6	16.8	-4.26	10.0	15.3	-5.31

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-24	24	10.8	15.4	-4.64	14.0	16.8	-2.82
Solomon Jones	11	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-26	28	12.5	15.3	-2.85	13.9	16.8	-2.93
Acie Law	55	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-18	12	14.3	15.9	-1.54	15.9	17.4	-1.53
Al Horford	41	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-13	2	16.1	14.0	2.03	17.4	15.7	1.72
Maurice Evans	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.35	-20	-4	-16	14.0	15.7	-1.75	16.1	16.8	-0.64
Zaza Pachulia	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-8	-8	14.5	15.4	-0.94	16.9	16.2	0.68
Ronald Murray	49	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-6	-12	14.9	15.0	-0.08	16.6	16.5	0.11
Josh Smith	68	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	-9	-6	15.2	14.1	1.10	17.0	15.1	1.84
Joe Johnson	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	-6	-12	15.9	12.7	3.19	16.4	16.7	-0.23
Marvin Williams	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	-6	-12	15.4	12.5	2.90	16.7	15.5	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	96.4%
DAL 106, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
HOU 108, LAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%