NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	3.2 [1107]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +7.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Comeback	1.0 [626]		LVP	LaPhonso Ellis (MIN): -7.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	24	52%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.02	0.09	17	65%	0.05	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.09	13	43%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	42%	0.01	1	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	87%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	4	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	46%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.06	18	60%	0.01	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	15	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	13	38%	-0.04	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.5	25.9	14.8	23.4	2.3	28.7	118.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +37.1%

MIN -0.7%

DAL +3.9%

DAL +7.9%

DAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	110.4	89.6	100.9
season	15.2	15.0		104.6	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.3		101.7	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.5	14.8	16.9	15.0	15.0
MIN	17.8	14.0	15.1	13.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.25	25	-5	30	15.7	13.7	1.99	15.5	14.0	1.51
Michael Finley	79	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	-3	26	15.1	14.6	0.44	15.9	11.2	4.71
Dirk Nowitzki	74	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.23	23	-3	26	15.4	13.8	1.55	15.8	12.2	3.58
Steve Nash	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.29	23	-3	26	15.8	13.8	1.93	15.9	13.6	2.29
Howard Eisley	79	79	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	11	-2	14.7	16.6	-1.99	15.1	14.4	0.70
Christian Laettner	43	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	9	2	14.4	15.5	-1.07	15.4	14.7	0.74
Hubert Davis	27	27	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	24	-28	14.4	15.2	-0.79	12.1	16.1	-4.00
Gary Trent	28	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	20	-20	14.8	15.1	-0.32	13.5	15.7	-2.22
Loy Vaught	3	3	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	20	-20	5.7	15.3	-9.65	22.3	14.8	7.58
Donnell Harvey	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	25	-30	14.4	15.1	-0.76	9.7	15.8	-6.13
Courtney Alexander	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	25	-30	14.4	15.1	-0.76	9.9	15.9	-5.93

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
William Avery	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.25	-9	-11	2	14.9	15.0	-0.12	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Reggie Slater	20	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.06	-3	-17	14	13.7	15.3	-1.57	15.5	14.9	0.58
Todd Day	22	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-21	22	13.0	15.6	-2.64	13.5	15.4	-1.96
Terrell Brandon	59	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.40	7	-27	34	13.9	16.8	-2.92	15.5	14.0	1.52
Rasho Nesterovic	46	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-15	10	15.2	14.8	0.31	13.9	16.0	-2.12
Sam Mitchell	29	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	-5	-10	17.1	14.1	3.03	15.5	14.8	0.64
LaPhonso Ellis	46	47	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	0.19	-16	-4	-12	15.4	14.6	0.85	15.1	14.9	0.15
Anthony Peeler	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-6	-8	15.3	14.7	0.65	15.1	14.9	0.15
Wally Szczerbiak	61	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	-5	-10	15.8	13.5	2.28	15.1	14.9	0.20
Chauncey Billups	52	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-5	-10	14.7	15.3	-0.61	14.8	15.2	-0.35
Kevin Garnett	80	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	-4	-12	14.9	15.2	-0.24	15.5	12.8	2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 121, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
PHX 114, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
BKN 103, NYK 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%