NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	3.3 [1163]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +17.6%
Utah Jazz	87		Comeback	1.0 [445]		LVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): -8.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.01	0.02	17	74%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.02	18	63%	0.17	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.06	6	81%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	13	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	3	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	15	49%	0.02	5	-0.09	9	78%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	17	36%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	29.7	16.0	23.2	1.7	31.0	127.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +38.5%

ATL +1.4%

ATL +4.7%

ATL +2.7%

ATL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	17.3	15.1	15.5	123.6	97.8	105.7
season	16.5	15.9		104.0	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.7	16.2	17.7	18.6	17.3
UTA	16.8	14.5	14.4	14.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	71	71	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	1	21	17.8	15.4	2.33	15.4	13.6	1.81
Maurice Evans	44	42	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	6	11	15.4	19.2	-3.84	15.4	14.7	0.71
Jamal Crawford	62	63	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.15	18	5	13	16.8	18.5	-1.74	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Joe Johnson	58	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	7	9	18.1	15.8	2.35	15.3	14.5	0.83
Jason Collins	34	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	9	5	17.2	17.4	-0.16	16.7	14.0	2.64
Josh Smith	48	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	8	7	18.5	15.9	2.64	14.6	15.7	-1.09
Mike Bibby	63	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	11	1	18.0	15.7	2.33	15.0	15.2	-0.26
Zaza Pachulia	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	22	-21	16.6	17.7	-1.11	13.7	15.8	-2.11
Josh Powell	17	16	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	22	-21	16.0	17.6	-1.61	13.8	15.3	-1.52
Jeff Teague	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	15.7	17.4	-1.76	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Jordan Crawford	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	16.6	17.4	-0.75	13.0	15.3	-2.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrylo Fesenko	26	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-18	13	13.6	15.7	-2.09	15.0	18.3	-3.36
Earl Watson	29	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	-15	7	15.0	15.1	-0.13	17.1	17.4	-0.36
Gordon Hayward	31	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-18	13	14.5	15.3	-0.78	18.2	16.8	1.43
Ronnie Price	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-18	13	14.8	15.2	-0.35	15.4	18.1	-2.66
Jeremy Evans	32	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-20	17	14.2	15.5	-1.31	16.5	17.7	-1.16
CJ Miles	34	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.26	-16	-7	-9	15.0	15.1	-0.14	16.7	17.7	-1.07
Francisco Elson	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-11	-1	16.0	14.5	1.55	17.3	17.3	0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-11	-1	15.2	14.8	0.42	18.8	15.1	3.73
Raja Bell	49	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-7	-9	14.8	15.3	-0.49	17.2	17.4	-0.13
Deron Williams	65	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-10	-3	15.4	14.2	1.10	17.5	16.9	0.59
Al Jefferson	67	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	-3	-17	15.7	13.1	2.61	18.0	15.3	2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 93, DET 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
POR 99, NJN 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
HOU 108, LAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%