NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	3.2 [1141]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +10.3%
New Jersey Nets	73		Comeback	1.0 [492]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -7.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.04	10	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	59%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	59%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	7	88%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	18	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	14	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	13	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	38%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	0.01	11	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	27.4	15.5	27.2	2.8	29.6	128.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.2%

POR +1.1%

POR +4.5%

NJN -5.1%

POR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NJN	NBA	POR	NJN	NBA
this game	18.8	15.9	15.4	119.3	88.0	105.7
season	16.7	15.4		105.5	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.4		107.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.4	17.1	19.3	19.4	18.8
NJN	16.6	16.4	14.3	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	58	55	0.56	-0.07	0.63	-0.46	35	-9	44	18.8	18.8	0.03	16.4	14.9	1.44
Steve Blake	50	51	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.11	22	4	18	18.1	19.9	-1.81	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Brandon Roy	51	50	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.39	26	0	26	19.5	17.7	1.84	16.6	14.8	1.86
Martell Webster	45	46	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	14	-2	18.9	18.8	0.10	15.1	16.9	-1.83
Joel Przybilla	52	52	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.32	20	6	14	19.7	17.3	2.49	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Channing Frye	25	25	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	19	-12	18.0	19.2	-1.12	18.0	15.0	2.98
Jarrett Jack	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.21	14	12	2	19.4	18.2	1.22	17.2	14.4	2.79
James Jones	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.25	14	12	2	18.8	18.9	-0.10	16.9	15.1	1.83
Raef LaFrentz	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	14.0	19.2	-5.19	9.8	16.4	-6.52
Taurean Green	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	14.0	19.2	-5.19	9.8	16.4	-6.52
Travis Outlaw	25	28	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	0.20	-9	35	-44	18.8	18.8	-0.03	14.9	16.4	-1.44
Sergio Rodriguez	14	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	35	-44	19.1	18.8	0.30	12.0	16.7	-4.67

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	30	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-30	34	15.1	16.3	-1.17	18.7	18.9	-0.20
Marcus Williams	14	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-24	22	14.9	16.1	-1.23	19.6	18.6	1.00
Antoine Wright	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-26	26	16.8	15.6	1.25	19.4	18.6	0.82
Jamaal Magloire	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-25	24	17.1	15.7	1.38	14.1	19.2	-5.11
Bostjan Nachbar	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.20	-10	-16	6	14.9	16.5	-1.56	18.2	19.2	-1.05
Malik Allen	45	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-25	24	15.6	16.2	-0.56	18.8	18.9	-0.10
Josh Boone	37	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-12	-2	16.2	15.6	0.61	19.1	18.6	0.48
Sean Williams	48	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.42	-27	1	-28	15.5	16.4	-0.85	19.0	18.5	0.50
Vince Carter	63	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	-6	-14	16.2	14.7	1.49	19.2	17.8	1.42
Richard Jefferson	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.31	-27	1	-28	16.2	15.0	1.20	18.7	19.2	-0.49
Jason Kidd	60	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.36	-32	6	-38	16.0	15.4	0.62	18.8	18.9	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, DEN 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
BOS 110, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ATL 110, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%