NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	93		Excitement	3.5 [1104]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +14.3%
Detroit Pistons	72		Comeback	1.0 [561]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -9.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	9	100%	0.16	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	26	57%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	8	87%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	16	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Jerome James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Antonio Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	12	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	10	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	16	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	10	46%	0.00	6	-0.10	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	33.8	16.8	28.2	3.5	29.3	140.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +53.4%

DET -2.5%

DET -10.7%

SEA +7.7%

SEA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DET	NBA	SEA	DET	NBA
this game	17.8	17.3	15.7	114.8	86.7	100.5
season	15.6	16.2		105.0	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.7		92.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.6	13.3	17.4	25.3	17.8
DET	16.1	20.0	16.1	17.1	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	71	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	5	11	18.5	12.5	6.02	17.1	18.8	-1.69
Brent Barry	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	2	17	17.5	18.8	-1.32	17.2	17.9	-0.78
Vladimir Radmanovic	63	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	7	7	18.0	17.1	0.86	17.4	17.2	0.17
Ronald Murray	43	45	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.15	16	5	11	18.2	17.3	0.97	17.5	17.2	0.26
Calvin Booth	24	27	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.10	12	9	3	18.1	17.6	0.43	17.3	17.4	-0.08
Reggie Evans	41	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	7	7	18.0	17.5	0.55	16.4	18.3	-1.96
Antonio Daniels	38	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	16	-11	17.3	18.2	-0.97	17.0	17.6	-0.61
Jerome James	22	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	16	-11	16.1	18.4	-2.32	18.6	16.9	1.68
Luke Ridnour	20	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	20	-19	20.4	16.9	3.55	17.6	17.3	0.30
Vitaly Potapenko	12	12	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	19	-17	13.8	18.5	-4.63	18.8	17.1	1.73
Ansu Sesay	7	9	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	20	-19	12.9	18.2	-5.39	20.0	17.0	2.97

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-22	23	13.0	17.7	-4.69	27.8	17.1	10.68
Bob Sura	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-17	13	18.5	17.2	1.27	12.7	18.3	-5.58
Tremaine Fowlkes	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-19	17	19.8	16.6	3.23	19.6	17.2	2.42
Zeljko Rebraca	17	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-15	9	19.6	16.8	2.82	20.6	17.0	3.64
Elden Campbell	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-16	11	18.1	17.0	1.09	15.9	18.6	-2.70
Corliss Williamson	40	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-12	3	16.8	17.9	-1.06	17.3	18.2	-0.97
Chauncey Billups	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-12	3	18.4	15.3	3.10	17.6	18.1	-0.44
Mehmet Okur	24	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-8	-5	16.3	17.8	-1.49	15.8	18.5	-2.69
Chucky Atkins	36	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	-8	-5	16.3	18.2	-1.89	19.5	16.5	3.02
Ben Wallace	62	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-6	-9	17.3	17.5	-0.17	17.8	17.6	0.26
Tayshaun Prince	56	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	-7	-7	17.0	18.1	-1.13	17.2	19.0	-1.80
Richard Hamilton	67	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-5	-11	16.8	19.5	-2.66	17.6	18.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
PHX 114, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
NYK 95, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%