NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	95		Excitement	8.0 [263]		MVP	Chris Douglas-Roberts (CHA): +51.1%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	25.0 [92]		LVP	Mike Scott (ATL): -25.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.51	0.04	0.47	-0.00	3	71%	0.51	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.28	0.11	0.16	-0.01	11	63%	0.28	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Al Jefferson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	17	66%	0.25	2	-0.11	7	71%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	29%	-0.07
Luke Ridnour	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Josh McRoberts	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	7	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	9	20%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	9	23%	-0.14	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.00	10	62%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.01	6	92%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	5	75%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.12	0.00	13	45%	0.23	1	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Cartier Martin	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	4	37%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.26	-0.26	-0.06	-0.21	-0.01	23	40%	-0.24	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	1.7	30.0	16.6	24.5	2.5	30.6	135.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +32.7%

CHA +10.3%

CHA +11.7%

ATL -2.6%

ATL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	15.1	105.6	102.2	105.2
season	15.7	14.8		102.4	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		104.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	17.6	13.2	15.8	15.2
ATL	15.2	16.7	16.2	18.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	43	44	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.52	8	-6	14	15.0	15.4	-0.38	16.9	16.2	0.70
Gary Neal	47	47	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.49	8	-6	14	15.0	15.5	-0.51	17.1	16.0	1.02
Luke Ridnour	42	43	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.52	7	-5	12	15.2	15.2	-0.01	17.3	16.0	1.30
Josh McRoberts	28	33	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-4	10	15.3	15.2	0.11	15.7	17.1	-1.42
Al Jefferson	66	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	5	-8	15.1	15.6	-0.46	16.4	17.1	-0.76
Anthony Tolliver	37	35	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	-3	8	16.1	14.6	1.51	17.3	16.1	1.21
Bismack Biyombo	24	25	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	-3	8	15.6	15.1	0.46	17.1	16.4	0.76
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	45	45	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.11	-2	4	-6	15.1	15.4	-0.22	16.1	17.0	-0.87
Kemba Walker	48	48	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	7	-12	15.2	15.2	0.01	16.0	17.3	-1.30
Cody Zeller	25	23	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.00	-9	11	-20	13.8	15.8	-1.94	16.7	16.5	0.22
Gerald Henderson	45	46	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	12	-22	15.8	14.7	1.11	16.2	17.0	-0.85

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	40	40	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.00	14	-16	30	15.8	17.2	-1.33	14.7	15.7	-0.94
Jeff Teague	44	43	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.05	6	-8	14	16.0	17.1	-1.02	15.5	15.0	0.51
Pero Antic	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.05	-3	1	-4	16.1	16.9	-0.87	15.6	15.0	0.59
Shelvin Mack	54	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.52	13	-15	28	16.0	17.5	-1.50	15.0	15.6	-0.66
Louis Williams	64	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.24	-4	2	-6	16.9	15.9	1.02	15.5	14.6	0.98
Cartier Martin	66	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	7	-16	16.8	15.9	0.95	15.4	14.9	0.50
Mike Scott	64	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.46	-4	2	-6	16.9	15.8	1.13	15.7	14.2	1.48
Mike Muscala	41	39	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.47	-11	9	-20	17.2	16.0	1.22	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Dennis Schroder	45	45	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.46	-12	10	-22	17.0	16.2	0.85	14.7	15.8	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.85,0.79,0.54,0.6,0.31,0.21,0.29,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 122, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.1,0	90.8%
DAL 105, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.53,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	90.6%
MIA 84, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.27,0	90.6%