NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	117		Excitement	12.4 [22]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +87.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	119		Comeback	3.8 [458]		LVP	David Lee (GSW): -28.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.87	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.64,0.55,0.87	0.16	0.70	-0.01	17	69%	0.90	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Draymond Green	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	-0.03	0.26	-0.00	3	50%	0.30	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.21,0.07	0.28	-0.21	-0.00	29	71%	0.21	4	-0.14	8	100%	0.06
Jermaine O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06	0.07	-0.11	0.01	10	75%	0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.13	-0.00	9	20%	-0.20	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.24,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.09	0.45	0.01	13	67%	0.65	4	-0.13	10	80%	0.12
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.10	0.00	10	86%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.11	-0.02	9	78%	0.25	3	-0.03	5	20%	-0.14
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	11	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	23	50%	0.23	2	-0.29	6	67%	0.07
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	13	41%	0.01	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.4	3.4	31.8	15.0	28.0	2.4	32.6	2.5	14.1	151.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -33.2%

POR +46.8%

POR +44.8%

GSW -8.2%

GSW -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	15.6	15.1	113.6	112.3	105.2
season	14.2	15.1		105.9	109.6
opponent	14.8	15.3		106.5	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	15.2	13.2	16.1	15.2	14.6	14.8
POR	16.1	15.0	15.9	14.8	16.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	61	63	0.74	-1.24	1.98	0.03	24	-26	50	13.8	16.4	-2.59	16.5	14.3	2.22
Andre Iguodala	72	74	0.37	-0.87	1.23	-0.40	26	-28	54	13.8	17.3	-3.50	16.4	13.8	2.57
Marreese Speights	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-2	2	7.0	14.9	-7.92	0.0	15.6	-15.58
Klay Thompson	61	63	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-9	16	14.8	15.0	-0.18	16.2	14.6	1.63
David Lee	63	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-8	14	15.0	14.6	0.40	16.4	14.3	2.06
Jordan Crawford	13	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	6	-14	17.2	14.5	2.64	15.6	15.6	0.08
Stephen Curry	89	92	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.57	6	-8	14	14.6	16.4	-1.83	15.6	15.6	-0.08
Harrison Barnes	44	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	6	-14	14.7	15.0	-0.28	14.3	16.5	-2.17
Steve Blake	25	26	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.05	-21	19	-40	17.5	14.0	3.53	14.2	16.0	-1.88
Jermaine O'Neal	40	40	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.19	-25	23	-48	16.6	13.7	2.87	14.6	16.2	-1.57
Draymond Green	46	48	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.44	-17	15	-32	15.0	14.8	0.20	14.0	16.9	-2.88

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	34	33	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-13	28	15.0	15.8	-0.80	16.6	14.0	2.55
Robin Lopez	91	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	0	2	15.5	15.9	-0.42	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Mo Williams	45	42	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-8	18	14.9	16.1	-1.15	16.2	13.9	2.27
Thomas Robinson	25	24	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-9	20	15.4	15.6	-0.18	16.3	14.4	1.89
Nicolas Batum	88	85	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.38	-5	7	-12	15.6	15.5	0.09	14.6	16.1	-1.53
Wesley Matthews	83	81	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	6	-10	15.8	14.7	1.18	14.5	16.2	-1.70
Damian Lillard	87	86	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.41	-9	11	-20	15.8	14.4	1.41	14.5	16.6	-2.16
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	76	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.30	-10	12	-22	15.7	15.1	0.60	14.2	16.7	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.59,0.73,0.54,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 104, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.85,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	87.4%
WAS 101, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.53,1	87.1%
NYK 113, WAS 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.37,0.57,0.84,1	86.9%