NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	10.2 [52]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +20.0%
Washington Wizards	118		Comeback	2.9 [256]		LVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): -13.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	16	62%	0.16	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.05
Latrell Sprewell	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.03,-0.02,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	20	62%	0.21	3	-0.22	13	85%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	62%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Chris Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,0.05,0,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	69%	0.07	4	-0.14	3	0%	-0.11
Allan Houston	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	0.02	-0.12	0.02	15	57%	0.01	1	-0.13	10	90%	0.03
Charlie Ward	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	9	39%	0.00	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	0.00	19	67%	0.31	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.07
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.04	0.17	-0.02	12	54%	0.24	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.05
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	8	74%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.01	6	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.09
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.08	0.03	19	70%	0.14	2	-0.13	8	87%	0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	28.2	15.4	25.5	2.4	39.2	1.6	17.0	155.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +19.5%

WAS +10.9%

NYK -20.4%

WAS +38.5%

WAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	16.2	16.3	15.2	116.5	119.2	101.7
season	16.1	15.5		100.0	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.8		104.4	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	17.7	15.1	18.3	14.5	14.9	16.2
WAS	17.4	15.5	14.6	19.1	13.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	61	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-8	11	15.9	16.7	-0.75	15.2	17.9	-2.67
Allan Houston	86	87	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-10	15	16.1	16.8	-0.70	16.4	15.4	0.95
Kurt Thomas	42	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-3	1	15.9	16.4	-0.56	17.3	15.5	1.88
Patrick Ewing	77	80	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-8	11	16.4	15.5	0.81	16.8	13.8	2.98
Chris Dudley	18	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	3	-11	16.2	16.2	0.03	15.1	16.5	-1.37
Chris Childs	38	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	3	-11	16.3	16.1	0.15	17.1	15.6	1.51
Larry Johnson	80	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.23	-11	6	-17	16.6	14.1	2.52	15.9	18.0	-2.11
Latrell Sprewell	83	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	2	-9	16.0	17.3	-1.27	16.0	18.2	-2.28

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	86	84	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.38	14	-9	23	15.6	20.8	-5.20	16.4	15.2	1.20
Rod Strickland	77	75	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-5	15	15.6	18.7	-3.12	16.3	16.0	0.25
Gerard King	75	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-9	23	15.3	19.1	-3.79	16.4	15.7	0.69
Chris Whitney	29	28	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.52	2	3	-1	16.6	16.1	0.52	15.2	16.6	-1.43
Juwan Howard	93	92	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	16.0	20.0	-3.99	16.3	14.8	1.47
Aaron Williams	49	49	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-10	25	16.9	15.6	1.36	17.2	15.2	2.00
Richard Hamilton	13	13	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.02	-9	14	-23	20.8	15.6	5.20	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Jahidi White	22	21	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.00	-13	18	-31	18.2	15.7	2.54	16.9	16.0	0.84
Tracy Murray	51	52	-0.69	1.19	-1.87	-0.25	-15	20	-35	17.4	15.1	2.31	15.1	17.5	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.37,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.59,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.94,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.57,0.92,1	90.5%
LAL 111, MIA 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.83,1	88.3%
DET 97, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.83,1	88.0%